Stuart Gilmour

Professor of Biostatistics at St. Luke's International University, Japan. Mastodon: @[email protected].

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@KurtSchlichter If you think a little you might be able to guess why this boy’s mother wasn’t using the prophylactic when he was conceived

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@memeticsisyphus Because you don’t know you have HIV

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

Data does not https://t.co/NOxmE66A5Y

[ShitlibSupreme 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 @ShitlibSupreme]

Rent control is the perfect example to demonstrate how defective leftist mentality is. Data overwhelmingly suggests it's a terrible idea, but they strongly feel as though it's the moral position therefore the only reason anyone could possibly disagree would be if they're evil.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

It says a lot about opponents of rent control that they have to be consistently dishonest to make their point - Tokyo does have rent control, and NYC builds 70,000 units a year.

[clara the urbanist @SlopHq]

tokyo froze nobody’s rent and rents are flat because they build 100,000 units a year. nyc froze a million rents, built almost nothing, and the line for an apartment still runs out the door. one of these is a housing policy. one is a hostage negotiation

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

Labor is 20-30% of construction costs in NYC, so ending union labor isn’t going to reduce this bill much at all. You either build or you don’t!

[Basil🧡 @LinkofSunshine]

We can only do that once we end our governments reliance on public unions. Until then, the price of building the 1 million units needed in nyc at the going rate is literally 1 trillion.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

It’s actually 3.7 million housing units for 3.3 million households but that doesn’t sound as scary

[Basil🧡 @LinkofSunshine]

So what’s the socialist plan for distributing 3 million units to 10 million people

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@TrueSlazac @LukasMukasPukas If the new houses would be lower price then rent control isn’t stopping anyone building them.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

Developers won’t build unless they can charge higher rents, but rent control is stopping your rent going down.

[Hunter📈🌈📊 @StatisticUrban]

Rent control and rent stabilization have more downsides, in that they actively impede the solution - building more housing.

They also create allocational issues, and issues with maintaining buildings.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

This guy is such a terrible interviewer https://t.co/QqhWzlUbUl

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

In light of tonight’s event at the White House, consider this passage from “The rise and fall of the galactic empire”.

[Nora Barrows-Friedman @norabf]

Extraordinary essay by @maryturfah in @thebafflermag

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@joefrancis505 I struggle to imagine a 15-19 year old in 2008 buying an iPhone.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@pretentiouswhat @TheStalwart Are the numbers comparable anyway? I assume they’re calculated in different ways.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@pretentiouswhat @TheStalwart Sorry, elderly spend *less* that should say

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@pretentiouswhat @TheStalwart These kinds of comparisons should be adjusted for the age structure (elderly people spend more, but middle-aged people should earn more) but I don’t think economists have a method for that.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@cannibality $300 chopsticks

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@pretentiouswhat I wonder if this rule generates resentment in local kids who are being beaten by kids who got a Shanghai education but then took the test in their hometown …?

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

@joefrancis505 @FT @jburnmurdoch He seems to have based it on this paper https://t.co/MHuEbLj431

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

I’m old enough to remember The Hand that Signed the Paper. These luminaries always survive their scandals.

[Alex Perez @Perez_Writes]

This Granta debacle is going to produce a million thinkpieces. Brutal all the way around. Sad literary collapse.

[Stuart Gilmour @drStuartGilmour]

A story as old as the 20th century

[Sam Bowman @s8mb]

If Burnham wins, he’ll treat it as a mandate to do whatever terrible leftist policies he wants (nationwide rent controls, wealth tax, exit tax, ultra-high CGT). This could be quite bad.

If he loses, Rayner or Miliband will become PM instead as obvious second-best choices, wounded and weak from day one and with no claim to a mandate. They are also clearly less electorally appealling. Reform winning in Makerfield therefore seems very desireable, and a lot of economic growth may be at stake.