Katja Heinisch

Economist at @IWH_Halle

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

If economists were surfers, would transparent conditioning assumptions help them catch the big waves of accurate forecasts, or would they wipe out?
New paper with @Christo10795807 and @Carola_Stapper in AEL: https://t.co/gryPntMiAr

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

📢 Call for Papers:
25th IWH-CIREQ-GW-BOKERI Macroeconometric Workshop: International Macroeconomics at @IWH_Halle on November 25/26, 2024.
Keynotes: Gabriel Felbermayr (WIFO) and Jesper Lindé (IMF)
Submission Deadline: September 30, 2024

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

I am delighted to announce that the @IWH_Halle -Forecasting Dashboard on the #German economy now also covers forecasts published by several German financial institutions: @DeutscheBank Research, @DekaBank, and @Helaba.
https://t.co/gofAfSkf64

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

Day 2 at the IWH Workshop on Forecasting in Times of Structural Change and Uncertainty.
Programm: https://t.co/OVPihO9ZMu
You can still participate: https://t.co/3hgQchA2h1

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

Congratulations to @ESfrappini from @IWH_Halle

[European Central Bank @ecb]

Meet our #YoungEconomistPrize finalists!

They’ll get to present and discuss their research with top economists and policymakers at the #ECBForum on Central Banking from 1 to 3 July! There’s also a €10,000 prize for the winner.

Find out more
https://t.co/nbjKFHrBWe

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

@ClausMichelsen @Striving_111 In den IWH-Prognosen werden sowohl die Prognoseintervalle als auch die Revisionsintervalle der amtlichen Statistik ausgewiesen (allerdings - bisher - nur für die Jahre).

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

Das #BMWK sieht in seiner Frühjahrsprojektion 2024 die Bauaussichten im Jahr 2025 verhaltener als die Frühjahrsprojektion der #ProjektgruppeGemeinschaftsdiagnose

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

In contrast to national forecasters' views, the IMF already anticipates a more significant increase in public investment.

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

The forecast figures published by the Joint Forecast (GD) can be compared in the @IWH_Halle-Forecasting Dashboard with other forecasters' outlook for the German economy:
https://t.co/gofAfSkf64

[IWH @IWH_Halle]

#Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Institute revidieren Prognose 2024 deutlich nach unten, #BIP-Wachstum 🇩🇪 von 0,1% erwartet. @IWH_Halle, @DIW_Berlin, @ifo_Institut, @kielinstitute, @RWI_Leibniz. #Konjunktur
➡️ Gutachten: https://t.co/5vjr6RLQvd
➡️ Pressemitteilung: https://t.co/FHnhetfZKY

[Alessia Paccagnini 👩‍🏫📚💶📈💻🍕⚽🐱🐶🎥 🎶🌍 @Alessia_metrics]

#EconTwitter
📢We are waiting for your paper for our workshop on #Forecasting in Times of #StructuralChange and #Uncertainty
Deadline: April 20
Link🔗
https://t.co/AGo981n0Kg

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

German economic outlook updates by various professional forecasters have been published:
Spring Awakening is a long time coming ...
For more details check the figures in the IWH Forecasting Dashboard: https://t.co/gofAfSkf64

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

📢 Neuigkeiten zum heutigen Tag der #Muttersprache 🇩🇪:
Unser IWH-Prognose-Dashboard ist jetzt auch in deutscher Sprache nutzbar:
https://t.co/wRTi7TRxT8

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

Economic outlook 2024 for Germany: large disagreement
(forecast interval -0.4 to 0.9%)

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

https://t.co/EuFrbjfaVW

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

📢 Call for Papers for the 24th IWH-CIREQ-GW-BOKERI Macroeconometric Workshop: Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Developments at the @IWH_Halle on Dec 4-5, 2023.
Distinguished keynote speakers are Christiane Baumeister and @GertPeersman.

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

@HWWIHamburg @FocusEconomics Congrats to Jörg Hinze and the @HWWIHamburg. Among the German economic research institutions included in the consensus, @IWH_Halle is ranked top 3, for GDP forecasts conducted in the period Jan21 until Oct22.

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

@therealchris_mk @holtemoeller @therealchris_mk : Das IWH Forecasting Dashboard erlaubt Vergleiche mit den jeweiligen Erstveröffentlichungen sowie mit dem jeweils aktuellen Datenstand von Destatis (Feb 23).

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

@stat_econ Latest spring forecasts published by the German research institutes (@IWH_Halle, @ifo_Institut, @kielinstitute, @RWI_Leibniz) and the German Council of Economic Experts (@SVR_Wirtschaft) are included.

[Katja Heinisch @dr_dr_echsel]

@stat_econ Latest spring forecasts published by the German research institutes (@IWH_Halle, @ifo_Institut, @kielinstitute, @RWI_Leibniz) and the German Council of Economic Experts (@SVR_Wirtschaft) are included.