Bond market likely to revolt and yields head higher with the labor market showing strength recently and the Fed potentially unwilling to raise rates tomorrow.
Bond market also revolted in late 2023 which led to a 10% correction in stocks.
SPX has had a 10-20% correction starting in Aug/Sep of the last 3 midterm years.
This would also align with Bitcoin putting in a market cycle bottom later this year, just when it always does.
@Heccles94 Harry please explain? Unless you have some way to change the entire monetary system? Im genuinely intrigued? Why should we give more to those unwilling to contribute?
Someone could go to school for 4 years and study aerospace engineering, then get a PhD with a dissertation related to orbital mechanics, and some instagram influencer who watched a youtube video will be like "actually that guy is wrong" on a topic related to space travel and people will believe them.
I'm not sure how we got here, but I hope we go back to a society where credibility is earned with rigorous training in the associated field, not by a popularity contest.
Dollar cost averaging into Bitcoin since the October 2025 top would have you down 23% right now.
DCA works in a bull market. In a bear market, you are just averaging into a falling knife, the dumbest thing you can do with your money.
Here is what monthly DCA since the October top looks like:
$126K → $95K → $80K → $68K.
Your average entry would be $92,000 while the current price is $70,000.
Everyone preaching DCA forgets the only variable that matters is where you start. DCA from $15K in 2022 returned 350% and was a genius move. DCA from $126K in 2025 is a complete disaster.
Look at the on chain data and you’ll realize that long term holders have been distributing since September 2025. You are not building a long term position, you are simply just absorbing their exit liquidity.
DCA is not a plan. It is what people do when they do not have one.
If you actually want to DCA into a long term position, start at $53K and scale down to $35K. That is where the on chain realized price bands sit. That is where smart money accumulated in every previous cycle. Not here.