Mockup of how would @AnthropicAI's new labor automation chart would've looked 200 years ago.
For our ancestors, the outer ring would be almost unrecognizable.
"Computer & math" was nonsensical. Medicine and law were tiny and barely professionalized.
The first photo was just about to be taken, so it would have been unfathomable to have a single blockbuster gross more than the entire gross national product of that period.
"Office & admin" barely existed as a concept; counting-houses employ a tiny literate class.
Agriculture alone consumed maybe 70-80% of the labor force in the US.
There was a thick band of artisanal trades that don't map onto any single modern category: coopering, blacksmithing, weaving, tanning, milling.
Clergy was a major professional category and Maritime labor was its own significant sector.
e.g. yesterday my 3yo finally grokked the concept of tomorrow
after learning that we're going to a show "tomorrow," he thought for a bit before reflecting, "so much tomorrows happen. Like... every day."
After getting targeted IRL because of some tweets several years ago, I think I'm ready to come back to my non-anonymous twitter.
Though the only thing I feel like sharing these days is fascinating things my kids say (which might only be entertaining to me!)
BREAKING: “People should see the texts in order to reach their own conclusions.”
@JeffreyGoldberg and @shaneharris share the group chat in which officials planned strikes on Yemen. https://t.co/oOwwHA1SQh
If you live in Wisconsin – or have friends or family who do – there’s an important Supreme Court race happening right now. And there’s only one candidate ready to protect the fundamental rights and freedoms of Wisconsinites: Judge Susan Crawford.
We’ve all seen how important judges are in protecting our rights, so vote early — don’t wait until April 1st. Find your early vote location: https://t.co/oDaQcyU3QJ
It’s pretty crazy that MRI works. Like you shouldn’t be able to coercively move around all the hydrogen atoms in a persons body with a giant magnet and not have any acute or lasting effects
If I didn’t know, I’d guess that you’d die
The software platform at Alpha School is a surprisingly little known, given (a) how good it is at core academics, (b) that it’s coupled to a great school model, and (c) how hot a topic AI in education is.
Feels like a secret, except it isn’t one.
FROM MAGA TO CHINA
Here are four things MAGA is getting wrong, and why it's handing over the world to China.
(1) First, MAGA correctly understands that America’s economic position is in decline but thinks this is due to economic competition itself, rather than lack of competitiveness.
(2) Second, MAGA also understands that the US has wasted trillions abroad in foreign wars, but thinks the problem is global leadership itself rather than poor leadership.
(3) Third, MAGA knows that their Blue American enemies have allies abroad, but has incorrectly overreacted to this by treating every non-Red-American as an enemy.
(4) Fourth, MAGA sees the billions of dollars flowing from the US to foreign recipients, but isn't grasping that the US can only print those dollars in the first place so long as it's the hub of a global empire.
When you put these together you can both understand MAGA's actions and understand why they will not lead to the intended result.
Basically: MAGA is hyperfocused on cutting off any apparent flow of funds from Red Americans to Blue Americans and non-Americans. And they only have ~500 days in power. So they're trying to quickly shut off imports, close down institutions, and exit all wars.
OK.
Except the reason the imports exist in the first place is because US products aren't competitive relative to Chinese products (or Fed printing). The reason those institutions exist is because the US set them up to run the world. And the reason those wars are happening is not because of American leadership per se, but because of the absence of good leadership.
If you shut all of that down at once — if you abandon global competition and global leadership — you shut down American Empire, and with it the ability to print money. And then everyone in that empire has a very bad time.
I think we end up with a massive premium on time, attention, distribution, quality.
Solving 80% of use cases is now almost free.
Making it delightful, getting a lot of users is just as hard as ever.
If not harder.
“...class attendance [is] a better predictor of college grades than any other known predictor of academic performance, including scores on standardized admissions tests such as the SAT, high school GPA, study habits & study skills"
Details in this paper: https://t.co/fqIyDOqDYK
Wanna understand some of the biggest science news of the year (maybe the decade?) better than 99% of people? That new should be coming out tomorrow evening, but we know a bit about it...so here's a thread:
First tests Adobe @Photoshop (beta) + Generative fill magic ✨
She doesn't know it yet, but I'm going to take her to the beach now 🤭 This is the starting image.