Isaias is now expected to become a major hurricane tomorrow, with peak sustained winds of 115 mph. It is still forecast to weaken to a Category 2 on landfall.
@ConvChronicles@PettusWX It would be interesting to see what your thoughts are for this fall/winter with the Super El Niño developing. Seems like a fairly unique case in terms of ENSO
@CameronJNixon Parts of eastern Manatee, Sarasota, Desoto and Hardee counties in FL have as good or better visibility than parts of the Plains with very little hills. Only issue are occasional trees. Very underrated chase terrain.
The lack of morning weather balloons launched across the western and central U.S. is having a real, tangible impact on degrading forecast quality.
We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.
Today's severe weather forecast is less certain because we don't have weather balloon data to confirm the strength of jet stream winds aloft.
This is extremely frustrating, and is the result of logistical, organizational, political and budgetary decisions.