Agent-native products are coming.
Every product on the internet was built for a human with eyes, a cursor, and a credit card. Agents have none of those things.
Most companies are teaching agents to pretend to be humans. That's a hack. The real opportunity is products designed for agents from scratch.
Everything inverts:
• Discovery → protocol registries, not ads and billboards
• Trust → machine-readable reputation, not brand
• Onboarding → full capabilities upfront, not a narrow slice
• Payments → spend authorization, not checkout flows
• Retention → zero. Agents switch between API calls.
30 years of human product design. Day one of agent product design.
@illscience Every time we add a new layer to the abstraction stack, the people who understand the old layer deeply while embracing the new layer end up with superpowers.
Instead of being existentially sad b/c you know people with more money than you, instead be grateful that:
1. You live in one of the beautiful places in the world.
2. With a high density of interesting people.
3. In the most prosperous moment of all time.
4. While you work on fun stuff.
PS. Move to the East Bay.
The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen.
Over the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope AI estimation).
Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there.
Worse yet, layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI.
As a result,
1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb.
Everyone's trying to align with a new set of career "paths": should I be a founder? Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI? should I get into AI? what company stock will 10x next? People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more.
2. There’s a deep malaise about work (and its future).
Why even work at all for “peanuts”? Will my job even exist in a few years? Many feel helpless. You hear the “permanent underclass” conversation a lot, esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think "man, if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago, I could retire"
3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed.
Many have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just "start a company". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall: middle management is being hollowed out in many companies.
4. The rich aren’t particularly happy either.
No one is shedding tears for them (and rightfully so). But those who have "made it" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some, comparison is the thief of joy. For some, they escape to NYC to "live life". For others still, they start companies "just cuz", often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30, they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said "and do what? right now, everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell, I will only have money."
I understand that many reading this scoff at the champagne problems of the valley. Society is warped in this tech bubble. What is often well-off anywhere else in the world is bang average here.
Unlike many other places, tenure, intelligence and hard work can be loosely correlated with outcomes in the Bay. Living through a societally transformative gold rush in that environment can be paralyzing. "Am I in the right place? Should I move? Is there time still left? Am I gonna make it?" It psychologically torments many who have moved here in search of "success".
Ironically, a frequent side effect of this torment is to spin up the very products making everyone rich in hopes that you too can vibecode your path to economic enlightenment.
Speedrun application deadline is approaching - we talked advice for applicants, trends we are seeing in our founder data, and what we are excited about on the team
NEW: INVESTOR ADVICE FOR APPLYING TO SPEEDRUN
We got in the booth with @kenanhsaleh, @emilybenn12, @far33d, and @tkexpress11 from the a16z speedrun investing team to talk about:
00:00 - patterns we're seeing in apps for SR007
04:50 - our process for reviewing apps
08:20 - traction signals we look for
09:10 - on teams that are a little too early for speedrun
14:26 - surprising things we've seen in interviews
20:46 - why you SHOULD NOT take vc funds
25:16 - why should founders pick speedrun?
Watch the full roundtable here:👇
Vijay @vjplux is exactly the type of founder we are looking for at @speedrun - extreme hustle, big vision, and just a solid dose of unreasonably high expectations for the future and what is possible.
For 45 years, Berkeley built virtually no new housing. By the mid-2010s, it was the most expensive college town in America. Shortly thereafter, YIMBYs took over and kicked off a building boom. Today, nominal rents are below 2018 rates—remarkable progress on affordability.