Fergus Cumming

Macroeconomist working on international analysis and policy using micro data. Based in London.

[Nick Low @NickDLow]

Thanks to @Mirasovic and colleagues for a warm reception at @MoFmv. A fascinating meeting where @fergusac (@FCDOGovUK Deputy Chief Economist), Camilla Sugden (Deputy Head, FCDO South Asia Regional Department) and David Perkoff (FCDO South Asia Economic Analyst) learnt so much.

[UK in Sri Lanka 🇬🇧🇱🇰 @UKinSriLanka]

Great to welcome back @FCDOGovUK Deputy Chief Economist @fergusac to 🇱🇰. Productive discussions on how we can enhance our shared prosperity. The 🇬🇧 remains open for business and Sri Lanka is an important part of the UK’s growth mission.

[Fergus Cumming @fergusac]

@Claudia_Sahm So sorry to hear this. We only met once when I visited the Board but our meeting had a lasting positive effect on me. All the best for recovery.

[Saloni @salonium]

No guinea worm cases have been detected in the first three months of 2024 - worldwide!

If this continues, we could soon achieve global eradication of the third disease in history.

Here's how much guinea worm has declined since the 1980s. Note: log scale.

[Edward Hill @EdMHill]

❓ What is the evidence for symptom propagation in respiratory pathogens of public health concern? #EpiTwitter

📄 Review now published in @RSocPublishing #Interface

✍️ Authors: Phoebe Asplin @RebeccaMancy Tom Finnie @fergusac @MattJKeeling @EdMHill

🔗: https://t.co/wuAyvsylKB

[Shehan Semasinghe @ShehanSema]

Had a discussion with Dr. Fergus Cumming, Deputy Chief Economist of the Foreign Commonwealth & Development Office and HE Andrew Patrick, British High Commissioner in Sri Lanka on current economic trends, their implications, several emerging challenges and opportunities, particularly in the context of post-crisis recovery efforts. We further discussed on the IMF programme translating to outcome along with reforms going beyond the programme and the importance of staying in course with reforms. Exchanged views on strengthening tax administration practices.

[UK in Kosovo 🇬🇧 @UKinKosovo]

Dr @fergusac Deputy Chief Economist of the FCDO met Ministers from the Economy, Trade and Finance Ministries plus economic experts from civil society & the opposition to discuss how the 🇬🇧can better support 🇽🇰economic development. Lots of potential for further collaboration here.

[Artane Rizvanolli @Artane_R]

Happy to exchange on 🇽🇰's progress, economic potential & exciting opportunities for 🇽🇰-🇬🇧 cooperation with #FCDO D/ Chief Economist @fergusac on his first visit to 🇽🇰.

Happy that 🇬🇧Foreign Sec. Cameron's visit on 3 Jan sparked new connections for promoting economic cooperation.

[Edward Hill @EdMHill]

1/ 📢 New preprint! 📢

What is the evidence for presence/absence of symptom propagation in respiratory pathogens of public health concern? #EpiTwitter

✍️Authors: Phoebe Asplin @RebeccaMancy Tom Finnie @fergusac @MattJKeeling @EdMHill

@medrxivpreprint: https://t.co/wgedBbstGT

[Bank of England Research @BoE_Research]

BU post looks at how house prices changes affect mortgage LTVs, and feed through to mortgage pricing. Explores how falling prices and rising LTV spreads might affect repayment costs.
https://t.co/DibESM36is

[Fergus Cumming @fergusac]

@t0nyyates Yes please, Tony!

[The Review of Economics and Statistics (REStat) @restatjournal]

Monetary policy is more effective when people take out more debt relative to their income. In the September 2023 issue, by Fergus Cumming @fergusac and Paul Hubert https://t.co/uJWHalQYQZ

[Asia-Europe Foundation @aseforg]

🤔 How to ensure sustainable funding & future-ready planning in #PublicHealth? Gain insights from the expert Dr. Fergus CUMMING, Chief Economist of the @UKHSA:
👉 https://t.co/014LCIoCbd
@ASEF_PHN #ASEF #ASEFPHN #PHN #PublicHealthNetwork

[Fergus Cumming @fergusac]

@ChrisGiles_ My pitch for an increasingly important contribution going forward is this:
https://t.co/BAwdDf08Ht

[Fergus Cumming @fergusac]

@SMHopkins @UKHSA As the current incumbent, I can confirm this is an excellent job! If you are interested in it, I am happy to chat about it. My email is in the job advert.

[OECD SMEs, Regions, Cities & Tourism @OECD_local]

In the past, monetary policy shifts have affected places very differently. What about this time around?

In a new article, @fergusac and Andrew Paterson examine the implications of rising interest rates on regional inequalities.

🔗 https://t.co/KxW5lOOUcT

[The BMJ @bmj_latest]

NEW research finds evidence for “substantial” monkeypox transmission before symptoms appear or are detected https://t.co/a8U79to8u4

[Susan Hopkins @SMHopkins]

@UKHSA #ukhsa22 come join us in Wellington rooms for more science updates on Monkeypox

[Julia Epi @EpiJulia]

The role of vaccination and public awareness in medium-term forecasts of monkeypox incidence in the UK

Paper: https://t.co/5C6VjOpePW

Code: https://t.co/yhdQwB6adx

Authors: @SamBrand101, @JoeBHilton, @LGuzmanRincon, @TAH_Sci, @MattJKeeling, @nokesdj

#JuliaLang #EpiTwitter