The UAE doubles down, risking the social contract
On May 3rd, Iran confirmed that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) used fighter jets to bomb Iranian territory.
This comes weeks after Iran downed at least four Chinese-made Wing Loong drones. At that time, Tehran was uncertain whether the drones belonged to the UAE or Saudi Arabia, as both operate the same model.
Today, Iran confirmed that the UAE has fully entered the war, deploying both drones and manned aircraft.
Until now, the Emirati regime had denied any offensive collaboration with the coalition. In the first week of the war, Abu Dhabi claimed it had not authorized the use of its soil or airspace for strikes against Iran. This proved to be a mere performance.
As soon as Iran began targeting HIMARS positions on UAE soil, hundreds of American soldiers sought refuge in hotels across Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Ras Al Khaimah.
In recent weeks, the UAE has stopped hiding its collaboration with Israel. During the recent truce, Emirati officials attended a meeting in Israel alongside the Commander of CENTCOM. By doing so, the UAE sealed its role as Israel’s staunch ally, a stance that goes beyond military cooperation and is marked by a deep diplomatic rupture with Saudi Arabia.
The UAE now finds itself in a geopolitical sandwich: Iran to its front, Saudi Arabia at its rear, and Qatar, with whom relations were only recently restored, at its side. This posture, dictated by Abu Dhabi, is extremely dangerous on economic, military, and social levels.
The UAE was built on a Social Contract: the government provides wealth, security, and world-class services in exchange for absolute political loyalty.
This contract depends on a strong economy; as long as prosperity is guaranteed, most citizens accept foreign policy decisions, even if they disagree with them.
Currently, the greatest social risk is religious, the fear that the alliance with Israel will be perceived as a betrayal of Islam. To mitigate this, Abu Dhabi invests heavily in the narrative of Moderate Islam and coexistence (exemplified by the Abrahamic Family House), attempting to reframe the alliance as a tool for peace rather than war.
All this occurs while the UAE maintains one of the world’s most sophisticated internal surveillance systems, ensuring any organized dissent is neutralized before it gains momentum.
The UAE has decided to bet everything against Iran, but why is this a high-stakes gamble? Because no one expects regime change in Iran anymore. On the contrary, the Iranian government appears solid. This is where Abu Dhabi’s strategy begins to threaten its own survival.
The UAE is now Iran’s primary target. In a possible second phase of the war, the scale of the Iranian retaliatory strike will be devastating now that they have confirmed Emirati jets are bombing Iranian facilities. Even looking toward the future, this move may be the final nail in the coffin for everything the UAE has built.
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Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni says Italy is suspending its defence agreement with Israel as global protests mount over the US-Israel war on Iran.
🔴LIVE updates: https://t.co/WSC3mQB9Gp
This week, I will be forcing a vote to block nearly $500 million in bombs and bulldozers to Israel. Enough is enough.
U.S. taxpayers must not keep funding the Netanyahu government’s mass killing and displacement of civilians in Gaza, Iran and Lebanon.
Trump wants another $500 billion for the military, on top of the $1 trillion we already spend.
He wants to pay for that by cutting health care, child care and other needs of the working class.
This is totally nuts. We need to invest in our people, not more bombs and guns.
This should be headline news EVERYWHERE.
A Pfizer insider who was former head of toxicology in Europe has just come out and said something that many "conspiracy theorists" suspected.
He estimates that 20 000 to 60 000 people in Germany have died from the c*vid vaccine.
This was said at a parliamentary enquiry commission in Germany.
So why isn't this massive news being reported everywhere?
Is the mainstream media that has recieved millions in funding from Bill Gates deliberately covering this up... 🤔
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 BREAKING--Tucker Carlson: "Why can't this president, or any president, say no to Israel?"
"Why does this tiny country have so much control over our government?"
Justo hoy, Netanyahu lanza su ataque más duro contra el Líbano desde que empezó la ofensiva.
Su desprecio por la vida y el derecho internacional es intolerable.
Toca hablar claro:
- Líbano debe formar parte del alto al fuego.
- La comunidad internacional debe condenar esta nueva violación del derecho internacional.
- La Unión Europea debe suspender su Acuerdo de Asociación con Israel.
- Y no debe haber impunidad ante estos actos criminales.
You started the war, but Iran will set the conditions for its end.
Iran's 10-point conditions that the US has accepted as "workable":
The US is fundamentally committed to:
🔹 Non-aggression
🔹 Continuation of Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz
🔹 Acceptance of enrichment
🔹 Lifting all primary sanctions
🔹 Lifting all secondary sanctions
🔹 Termination of all UN Security Council resolutions
🔹 Termination of all IAEA Board of Governors resolutions
🔹 Payment of compensation to Iran
🔹 Withdrawal of US combat forces from the region
🔹 Cessation of war on all fronts, including against the heroic Islamic Resistance of Lebanon.
Did Trump just concede defeat from Iran?
Trump says the Strait of Hormuz will be likely jointly controlled by him and the next Ayatollah of Iran.
Major statement indirectly claiming there will be no regime change in Iran.
United States 🇺🇸 0 Iran 🇮🇷 1