David Fogarty

Climate Change Editor @Straits_Times. Ex-@Reuters.
#ClimateChange = story of our age. Let's overcome the risks and seize the opportunities. Views are mine.

[Ben Noll @BenNollWeather]

Strongest El Niño on record this year?!

New ECMWF guidance shows a *75% chance of a super El Niño* by October, with some scenarios suggesting the most intense event in more than a century.

It will bring wide-reaching weather impacts that last into 2027 🧵

[Eric Rignot @erignot]

Antarctica has lost 10 times the size of Greater Los Angeles in ice over 30 years https://t.co/vfCQPmQHYs

[Colin McCarthy @US_Stormwatch]

One of the most intense marine heatwaves on Earth has developed off the coasts of China and South Korea, where ocean temperatures are up to 5°C (9°F) above normal.

NOAA has classified this event as a Category 4 (extreme) marine heatwave.

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

This graphic shows average Arctic sea-ice thickness (average monthly volume divided by average monthly extent, 12-month running average). October, 2017, saw the minimum, at 1.228 meters. Current is 1.267 meters and falling fast.

What's next? The Climate 8-ball is frozen solid.

[Jeff Berardelli @WeatherProf]

Up. Up. And away!
North Pacific water temps the past 15 years, with September 2025 being the cherry on the top (right) of the chart. @ZLabe is going to need a bigger Y axis!

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

Your 'moment of doom' for Sept. 25, 2025 ~ Ocean acidification.

"A new report from the ... Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) reveals that 7 of the 9 critical Earth system boundaries have now been breached, one more than last year."

https://t.co/Jlyc7D8rb8

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

Breaking News!
Code UFB!

The 36-month running average for Earth albedo (reflectivity) hit another record low as of the latest data release for July, 2025 by CERES.

In other words, the darkening of the planet is growing stronger.

[The Conversation - Australia + New Zealand @ConversationEDU]

New research explores the wide-ranging consequences of record low summer sea ice in Antarctica. From more ocean warming to extra icebergs, it's bad news we must hear. @edoddridge @UTAS_ https://t.co/bzhdQpo7bi

[Australian Antarctic Program Partnership @Ant_Partnership]

1⃣ Like a heartbeat driving one of the largest seasonal cycles on Earth, Antarctic sea ice is central to the global climate system and vital for unique ecosystems.

Animation: @southpolecoffee

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!

The planet's albedo (reflectivity) hit yet another new record low as of the latest data from CERES from April, 2025, now at 28.714%.

Darker days ahead!

[Daniel Swain @Weather_West]

@F10fromMAGArone @PiperK No--the entire https://t.co/ct38twg55j team was fired and they will no longer be able to generate the products that used to be housed there. There may be a historical archive available, but no new/continuing information.

[Daniel Swain @Weather_West]

What a remarkable--and pointless--loss for NOAA and for the United States.

[Rosa Parra @rosasreviews]

85 years ago Chaplin decided to speak in one of his films for the first time in his career. It was to deliver this message that rings true today. #NoKingsDay

[Australia Institute @TheAusInstitute]

As gas exports have soared, Petroleum Resource Rent Tax paid has shrunk ever smaller, to just $1.5 billion in 2024-25.

Beer excise is a bigger revenue raiser than the PRRT! (2/5)

[Australia Institute @TheAusInstitute]

The gas industry has had higher profit margins than ANY other sector in Australia over the last few years.

That's unsurprising when you know how little tax they pay. 🧵 (1/5)

[Australia Institute @TheAusInstitute]

We tried to show the PRRT compared to Australia's total tax. It's so small you can barely see it on the graph.

[Zeke Hausfather @hausfath]

New WMO report on near-term climate projections finds that global temperatures are likely to remain at highly elevated levels for the next five years. Barring a large volcanic eruption, it is very unlikely that we see a year as cool as 2022 again.

[Prof. Eliot Jacobson @EliotJacobson]

The two-year running mean for global surface temperature anomaly is approaching 1.6°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC pre-industrial baseline.

The planet has not been this hot in over 120,000 years.

[Copernicus ECMWF @CopernicusECMWF]

January 2025 was the 18th month in a 19-month period in which the global-average temperature was more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial level. 🧵

[Zeke Hausfather @hausfath]

We've released the Berkeley Earth temperature update for January 2025.

It was the warmest January on record at 1.64C above preindustrial levels, and 0.09°C above the prior record set in 2024.