China bleibt bei den Sanktionen vorerst verschont, das Tail Risk ist noch nicht verschwunden.
Washington verzichtete bislang auf Sanktionen gegen chinesische Banken. China ist Irans wichtigster Ölkäufer. Eine spätere Eskalation könnte besonders gefährlich werden für Deutschland.
Deutschlands Wachstum bleibt unter Europas Durchschnitt: Die EU wuchs im Q2 um 0,5 %, Deutschland nur 0,3 %. Spanien kam auf 0,7 %. Nach Jahren der Stagnation reicht ein Quartal an Wachstum nicht: Deutschland wächst weiterhin langsamer als die EU insgesamt. #Wirtschaftskrise
SCOOP: Treasury Secretary @SecScottBessent will do whatever it takes to "put the fear of God" into the bond vigilantes, shorting the long end of the curve in an attempt to drive the 10 year yield to 5%, Wall Street executives with direct knowledge of his thinking say. That would include buy backs, selling short-term debt, possible elimination of long-dated bonds like the 20 year etc. It's a short-term solution to keep yields from soaring further, strangling growth as the midterms approach, they say, and doesn't address the real problem: Debt now at the $40 trillion level, and competition for capital from AI buildout. Longer term, don't look for austerity coming out of the Trump White House in its remaining years, they say. The plan remains top possibly "grow" out of the debt level through increased tax revs because the cure for such high debt levels would be recession inducing taxes or austerity. Story developing
people don’t realize this, but 2026 appears to be the first year in human history where humanity as a whole is below replacement fertility.
this has never happened before. not during wars. not during pandemics.
for the first time in human history, we are not producing enough children to replace ourselves.
this is the only real existential crisis.
⚡️⭕️ Syria's Foreign Minister met with Mossad chief after Israeli strike on Abu al-Dhuhur airport; meeting led to formation of security committee comprising Syria, Turkey, and Israel. (IRIB News)
🔴 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, henüz milletvekili dahi değilken, hiçbir resmi devlet görevi bulunmazken ve hukuken siyasi yasaklı bir durumdayken, 10 Aralık 2002 tarihinde ABD Başkanı George W. Bush tarafından Beyaz Saray'ın Oval Ofis'inde en üst düzey protokol kuralları uygulanarak ağırlandı.
10 Aralık 2002