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$JUP $VINE $BASE
NEXT MASSIVE ALTSEASON IS ABOUT TO BEGIN…
OTHERS.D ALERT TRIGGERED
• Third golden cross confirmed ✅
• Launch zone mirrors 2018 & 2022 mega-runs
• Dominance bouncing off key macro support
• Market structure points to aggressive growth into 2026
Get ready - the biggest altseason is on horizon
BREAKING: Strategy ($MSTR) is down 9% in the last 8 hours, wiping out $3.7 billion in market value.
Strategy is now down 77% from its ATH, and its Bitcoin holdings are sitting on $1.77 billion in unrealized loss.
Every cycle is the same.
Yes, crypto could bounce. And honestly, it would be great for sentiment if it could. But even if it does, it would most likely result in a macro lower high.
I don't try and time those bounces. I have tried before with mixed levels of success. Sometimes it works, other times I got rekt.
When BTC drops below the 50W moving average, it then goes to the 100W moving average, spends a little time there, then goes to the 200W moving average.
Every cycle is eventually the same.
BTC topped when it always does (Q4 of the post-halving year), and so many have spent so many hours trying to convince you that it has not.
And BTC entered into a bear market, and so many have tried to get you to believe that alt season is "just around the corner" because it always happens after BTC tops. What they fail to account for is social interest. After the 2019 top there was also no rotation into altcoins, which also occurred just before QT ended.
I track the social interest in the asset class, and it has been trending down since 2021. There is no one new here for people to sell their altcoins to.
Alt seasons historically occur *after* social interest has been trending up for a year, not after it has been trending down for 5 years.
Have an actual plan on navigating this brutal asset class. Because if the altcoins you hold drop another 50%-80% from here, not a single influencer who promoted them will express an ounce of regret for it. And you will simply be living with the consequences.
I get a lot of hate for saying the truth, but an inconvenient truth is better than a lie.
$BTC now at $72k
down 43% from the high without any relief bounce whatsoever
that's not normal even for bear markets..
typically we see, down 10%, bounce 5%, down 10%, bounce 5% something like this on the way down..
but this time straight down for weeks, every tiny bounce gets sold immediately.. no strength
when you get this kind of relentless selling with no relief, one of 2 things happens:
> either we're near exhaustion (capitulation close)
> or something fundamental broke that we don't see yet
every indicator rn says oversold.. but the lack of bounces means forced selling is still active.. may god have mercy upon us..
$BTC update:
We're witnessing the first part of this new projection: the liquidity sweep of the previous low.
Longing this is risky, we all agree. It requires screen time, risk management and confidence.
This chart shows the safest way: wait for 1W candle close back above it.
#ALT Dominance potentially creating an Adam & Eve Double Bottom after the Monthly MACD confirms a Bullish Cross & attempts 2 consecutive months of bullish momentum for the first time since June 2020 as it also attempts to break the massive falling wedge after a 4 year downtrend:
If you value $BTC against the S&P, then we're also hitting the lowest RSI ever on the weekly timeframe.
The last times that we were remotely close was during the bottom in the bear market in 2022 and the bottom of the bear market in 2015.
We're very close.