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#ShortTermSaturday Episode 2 (10/03/26)📈
✒️My dear followers,
I have been astonished by your feedback and the resonance my first #ShortTermSaturday post has brought me in. I think, I really hit the nail in the coffin by providing and including short term outlooks for $BTC to you - in the end, as always it's supply and demand. You demand it, I provide it and the supply is super-rare info and data you will only get on my X or on my dear friend's X account @xapa03. So make sure to follow him too! 🤝
🤿Let's dive into today's #ShortTermSaturday, shall we?
1) Meso-perspective wise, we are still in our rising wedge structure on the daily time frame. A rising wedge per definition is an overall bearish setup with a high tendency of breaking to the downside rather than breaking to the upside. By breaking down, I clearly do not mean a blood bath, it's just simply a cool down the market needs every now and then in order to reset its momentum oscillators and to find a higher low foundation to build the next big long move on. So for the daily timeframe speaking, neither RSI nor Paralia have plenty of room left to go upwards or to run even hotter. RSI will end up in a double bearish divergence with two higher highs in price and two lower lows in RSI which will clearly break down. Paralia is close to being red, and you know what that means. ⚠️
2) Our "make-it-or-break-it" range will be October 8th to October 11th timewise. In this span, it's decision time. If I had to make a hard guess, I do see a break to the downside and with that, an RSI breakdown, a Paralia rise-up to the green and a $BTC price rangebounding in the cluster of $74.5k to $79k. If Bitcoin was to end up in this range, RSI would be cooled down, Paralia would again be green on the 12h to daily timeframe (long swing entry signal), and $74.5-$79k would be a solid consecutive higher low structure that would define and solidify our uptrend form our bear market bottom low at $57k end of June (@xapa03 and I called it to the tee btw). 🚨
3) To crown the first two pictures in my analysis, I overlaid a Fibonacci price grid starting from our bear market bottom at $57k in June 2026 and going until Bitcoin's last range high at roughly $87k ish this week. We can see that .618 and .786 would be the two perfect sweet spots where Bitcoin could be rangebounding and "breaking down" into, finding higher low support with the macro trendline (blue) coming all the way form the June cycle bottom. 👑
🧮If we extrapolate all numbers, we would end up with the following prices:
- $BTC has seen its final high for this range at roughly $87k-$88k
- There's a modest but not big chance of maybe finding ONE HIGHER HIGH ($89k-$90.5k) which I would not bet on and I would not trade on from these prices
- Eventually, $BTC will break down of the rising wedge and at least revisiting the $79k-$80k cluster with a high likelyhood and a textbook sweet spot turning point at roughly the $74k-$75k cluster
- breakdown date would be mid-October and IF IT WAS TO BREAK DOWN, we would see $BTC sub $80k in late October to early November
Stay tuned for fresh weekly data on #MomentumMonday and next week's short term outlook. 🔔
Thanks for tuning in and enjoy the weekend!☀️
Sincerely🤜🤛
Sheriff
Measured from the last weekly candle inside the green zone of the TEM, ETH found its peak within 35 days.
The top occurred exactly after 35 days (on the weekly timeframe), and the attempt to break out that week resulted in a lower high.
The first level I see for Ethereum is $2,500, with a maximum pullback to $2,200.
I expect market weakness over the next two weeks and for Bitcoin to drain liquidity from most altcoins.
I also showed patterns for Solana and Bitcoin that predicted the tops.
As long as it hasn't been invalidated, it remains valid.
Could it be that simple?
ethereum:native
Measured from the last candle in the blue TEM zone, Solana needed 17 days back then until it first touched the yellow zone.
After that it found its last local bottom 71 days later. From the last candle in the green TEM zone it then took 39 days to the top, and that was roughly 68%.
We’re seeing the exact same setup in 2026.
Candle in the blue TEM, 21 days later the first touch of the yellow zone. After 66/69 days came the local bottom and from the last green TEM candle we’re up around 68% again.
All in all it’s 110–111 days from the last relevant TEM zone to the top.
SOL entered also the overheated zone on the higher timeframe, a rare sign that SOL is about to see a huge correction.
The second picture starts from 2023 and ends in 2026.
solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112