gfodor.id

Building something new. Problems soluble, potential to improve invariant.

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@TomChivers

[Tom Chivers @TomChivers]

Sure, this guy is predicting AI doom in the next year, but he was predicting AI doom in ten years nine years ago, and it hasn’t happened yet

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@ryan_landay The thing about the universe is entropy has to increase forever, therefore

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@robinhanson Don’t think anyone was predicting an intelligence explosion in a year until now. There is a good reason for it to be made now.

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@BoredElonMusk When you took a walk this morning, did you kill any ants?

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@netpro2k Yes it’s theoretical

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Feeling ridiculously confident in this now

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I keep coming back to the thought, which I can’t prove obviously, that a theoretical global end to long training runs at the end of 2026 would be max EV for humanity.

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@JonWiltshire_ “I learned everything I need to know about capitalism from a board game”

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@tszzl @paularambles A cat 5 hurricane heading your way is exciting too

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@LinusMixson @RennieMac_ @willdepue @niloofar_mire @OpenAI What is? I’m talking about having a sufficient amount of bandwidth and low enough latency to a computer from your mind that brain elasticity kicks in and you start to subconsciously offload parts of cognition to a machine.

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@LinusMixson @RennieMac_ @willdepue @niloofar_mire @OpenAI You answered your own question I guess? People will use BCIs because the alternative is to remain in the cohort of people who aren’t using BCIs and all the consequences of being in that group. It doesn’t mean it will be a silver bullet, but it’s gonna happen

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@willdepue @niloofar_mire @OpenAI Nah Kurzweil is right we will just fuse with AI, I don’t think there will be a clear “humans on the sidelines” beyond those that don’t actually augment whatsoever (many people act like they won’t now, I think it will be like saying you’d never use a cellphone)

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@willdepue I’m gonna feel dumb if Anthropic basically does exactly what they intended to

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@afsanay_ @OscarMDavies A test is better than an example but if all you can come up with is an example that’s fine. An example only makes sense of course if you can know if you’re looking at it and that a human would be able to do it.

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@nematophy @kamilkazani I’m not talking about AIs which are under obvious human control. Fully autonomous corporations will be common.

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@justdaveyjustin I don’t remember a single commentator being concerned Trump was going to start a war. The concern was he was going to destroy democracy, become a permanent dictator, and enslave and murder his political enemies.

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@nematophy @kamilkazani What happens if an AI system autonomously creates shoes and sells them? Do you jail the buyers? The people who owned the computers who ran the AI (perhaps completely out of their control and knowledge?)

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@afsanay_ @OscarMDavies What would be an example of something specific that, if you saw it happen, would convince you an AI system created new data? Don’t be vague, give me a detailed test

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@AeonCoin @kamilkazani I’m not sure why you are arguing with me then if you don’t have any better ideas. There is an obvious difference in freedom between the state distributing goods and services and the state distributing currency people use to use how they wish.

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@nematophy @kamilkazani What’s the alternative?