The CEO of Palantir sat across from Larry Fink - the man who runs BlackRock and its $11.5 TRILLION in assets - and told Davos the AI race is already lost by everyone pricing it wrong.
- he says the firms selling AI by the token have "completely broken" how it works
32-min from the Davos main stage on how AI redefines war, power and who actually controls capital
bookmark & watch - it's the most direct AI + power talk of the year
The NASDAQ is 97.5% correlated to total global liquidity.
It has almost nothing to do with earnings or how good the companies are, and everything to do with how much money the world's central banks are printing.
The small slice that liquidity doesn't explain is the NASDAQ's own adoption curve sitting on top.
This is why everyone keeps saying equities are expensive. They're using a measure that stopped working the moment we started debasing currency. A high valuation doesn't really tell you a company is doing well anymore, it tells you how much money has been printed.
This is the heart of my Everything Code framework. Once you understand that liquidity is the key driver of all asset prices, the market stops behaving like a mystery and starts running like clockwork.
Yann LeCun -- Meta's chief AI scientist and a Turing Award winner -- explains why scaling up LLMs will never reach human-level AI, and names the four things today's systems still can't do:
"If you think that we're going to get to human-level AI by just training on more data and scaling up LLMs, you're making a mistake."
"If you're an investor and you invest in a company that told you we're going to get to human-level AI and PhD level by just training on more data and with a few tricks... that was probably not a good idea."
"There are ideas about how to go forward and have systems that are capable of doing what every intelligent animal and human are capable of doing, and that current AI systems are not capable of doing."
"Understanding the physical world, having persistent memory, and being able to reason and plan. Those are the four characteristics that need to be there."
"That requires systems that can acquire common sense, that can learn from natural sensors like video, as opposed to just text."
The entire market is priced on a straight line from bigger models to AGI. One of the people who invented deep learning is telling you the line doesn't reach -- and that the real bottleneck isn't compute, it's world models.
If he's right, the winner isn't whoever stacks the most GPUs. It's whoever teaches a machine to learn from video the way a child does.