Good Morning from #Germany, where retail investors are ultra-bullish on #gold. Annual bar & coin investment jumped 13.1% in 2022 to a fresh ATH of 196t, aided by the highest #inflation in 70yrs.
Good morning from Germany, which is entering a new age of inflation. Economists expect #inflation rate to remain >3% until 2026. This is more reminiscent of the 1980s when inflation averaged 2.8%. Since 1990, inflation rate has avg 1.8% in German https://t.co/0M41AfJLXW via @welt
Just a bit of #perspecitve. While the decline this year has #felt terrible, the #bullish trend, for now, remains intact, with the #market defending the 200-week moving average. We will be in a #bearmarket when the trend is broken, for now, it remains a #correction.
Once the #Fed is done hiking #rates, how long will they stay at the #terminal rate? The thought is 12-18 months, the #economy will say about 3-6 months at most.
h/t @thedailyshot
The last big fall in the Euro - in 2014 - happened WITH the ECB, given that Draghi was pursuing the shift towards QE. The current fall in the Euro is happening DESPITE the ECB, which is hiking aggressively. That makes this fall in the Euro much more powerful and longer lasting...
'There's a global migration underway in the gold market, as western investors dump bullion while Asian buyers take advantage of a tumbling price to snap up cheap jewelry and bars.' https://t.co/OpVlRnXCiW
As #GS continues to be consistently wrong on their estimates and outlooks, they have now cut their #hard#landing scenario from 3400 a couple of weeks ago to 3150. (In January, they had no prediction of a recession.)
Interesting fact:
Last time silver went up as much as today was November 2008.
That was the bottom and silver went up 400% in the next two and a half years.