So these developers must be assuming they are participating in the BM, wholesale market and stability services market (and of course£30.59/kW in capacity payments must help!) - vindication for NGESOs balancing services market strategy?
@Adam_Grant_Bell I'm curious to know how Norway will manage its (presumably) exhaustible hydro energy vs interconnector exports. At what point would they turn off the taps and pray for rain?
@richonlyinname I imagine they will be planning to mitigate the political cost, but not the real impact on consumers. My guess is that a 'review' into energy retail will be announced. Plus some gentle spin to blame cost increases on shift to green economy and global rises in fuel costs.
@RichHallCA @richonlyinname No hedging at all? That is remarkable. Not a retail business but rather just a huge short against power and gas. Is there the possibility they didn't realise this?
North Sea Link interconnector goes live tomorrow. But restricted to 700MW for either 4 weeks or 3 months depending on whether you read the GB or NO remit message.
@timbolord The booming BM feeds thru to the auctions and foward curve. Everything in the near term gets bid up. The european area has nothing as exciting as the balancing mechanism, so their dayahead/intraday prices dont get so wild.
@timbolord Really great thread, thanks. I'd add that the day/intraday spikyness is exacerbated by power station bidding behaviour in the auctions and balancing mechanism. The marginal unit is setting the price based on its opportunity cost, not just the fuel-driven fundamentals.