H-D

Data Junkie; Interested in Ideas, Economics, Philosophy, Finance, Geopolitics, Macro, Sectors/Industries, Firesales, Roadkill;

[H-D @h805d]

$NVDA , $SOX today...
$CAT Komatsu $DE for the next cycle

[H-D @h805d]

@calvinfroedge @grok
$LYB EVP acquisition resulting from stock based compensation or open market purchase?

[H-D @h805d]

@TimmyMcCarthy @compound248 Adjusting interest rates or down payments or any other options?

[H-D @h805d]

@Fenmagne anybody thinking about a capital structure trade which includes both equity and the bonds?

[H-D @h805d]

@NStepmum chemicals being called
uninvestable ;
bloodbath ;
are we there yet?
$DOW $LYB $CE $HUN

[H-D @h805d]

@Robert46989257 you mean like buy into the space when media announce the
"blood bath"
"death of industry"
"End of the industry"
"Death spiral"
"Wipeout"
"Industry meltdown"
🧐

[H-D @h805d]

@lasse108 @grok
at what levels will the prices be low enough that it starts to make sense to buy both the bonds and the equity in some pre determined ratio ? where there is still profits to be made after the bankruptcy situation

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@yu_knowit also thinking about lawsuits from micro plastics situation

something that sounds as bad as glyphosate and PFOS

then throw the magazine cover sector wide

chemicals might sound stressed, but does not sound like roadkill yet

[H-D @h805d]

@yu_knowit Ever wonder how they will print the chemicals crisis magazine cover ?

[H-D @h805d]

@yu_knowit Any thoughts about last time when
Lyondell Chemical filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in January 2009 following its acquisition by Basell in late 2007
$LYB

Debt maturity wall seems far enough **

Access Industries, Inc. does have a 20% exposure

[H-D @h805d]

@FCNightingale @grok

What is the implied occupancy , rental rate and cap rate? Assuming no bank loans

[H-D @h805d]

@edissuper less than 6x ebitda ....
more than 20% owned by insiders
dollar tree general of europe
$BME.L #BME

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@Robert46989257 Have not bought yet

[H-D @h805d]

When do you guys anticipate the death of plastics? $lyb $dow $cc $basf

[H-D @h805d]

@Robert46989257 So buying the entire sector mitigates bankruptcy risk of a few that might go under?

Also thinking about max sector weighting at around no more than 15 to 25%

[H-D @h805d]

@Robert46989257 @shdwbnkr Definitely with you on the package foods spaces being relatively inexpensive

Also keeping an eye on alcohol, it does not look cheap enough yet

PRC is cheap alright relatively speaking

Maybe it's a bet against peak MAHA

Chemicals looks interesting but... Too early?

[H-D @h805d]

@david_katunaric @TawastK Parking lot for boats
Sounds like a built in moat.

ADRIATIC CROATIA INTERNATIONAL CLUB, ZA DJELATNOST MARINA D.D.

[H-D @h805d]

@Robert46989257 @shdwbnkr you have a point about relative valuation.
sitting on cash or pivoting into some other spaces?

[H-D @h805d]

@VladTheInflator Ponzi financing**

[H-D @h805d]

@lasse108 how is the max position sizing as percentage of portfolio in the chemical space?

about major shareholders and those with quite a bit of skin in the game; any comments about those parties?