حمد العلي

Analyst | Macro and Markets

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@_onlyscott

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@cryptorover Maybe it will be

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

Bear markets are a good time to revisit your thesis and see why you invested in the first place

If the only thing that changed is price, then have a better buying opportunity than you did yesterday

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@Callum_Thomas The volatility in growth outlooks is something to be studied

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@jimmysong You only know the bottom after the fact

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@BTCoptioneer Underlying collateral is distressed

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@AbdullahMashat خوش اسعار اليوم

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@PunterJeff Publicly listed BDCs are probably the best market comparable to digital credit

BXSL
ARCC
Etc.

But still

Digital Credit > BDCs

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@BullTheoryio This will keep inflation stubbornly high

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

This will probably be the highest inflation print of year

But inflation will remain well above the 2% target for a while

This is why rate hikes are being in priced in

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: US May PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, rises to 4.1%, the highest reading since April 2023.

Core PCE inflation rose to 3.4%, its highest since October 2023.

US inflation is now officially running at more than double the Fed's 2.0% target.

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

Great to see movement picking up

[Kpler @Kpler]

Hormuz traffic sees a sharp d/d uptick

Confirmed Strait of Hormuz crossings rose to 70 on 24 June, up 105% day on day, as demining efforts advanced and operators increasingly used the Omani route. Commercial traffic accounted for most activity, with 53 transits, while low-risk vessels dominated the day’s profile. The US-Iran MoU framework and apparent lifting of the US blockade appear to have supported a short-term confidence boost, although IRGC warnings against use of the Omani route could create a new source of contention.

IMO-route use picked up slightly, but continued Dark routing, incomplete demining and unresolved issues over inspections, sanctions and future Strait governance mean the rebound is not yet a confirmed return to pre-crisis conditions.

Stay ahead of the market with #Kpler Insight: https://t.co/T7ZkXz7lzv

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@JamesWynnReal Gold increased by 75% during the great depression

Maybe Bitcoin does the same?

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@QuintenFrancois There’s a first time for everything

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

South Korean and Japanese markets quickly rebound and close to making new highs

1 year returns for each:
South Korea: +190%
Japan: +85%

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@econovisuals Strong earnings too

Not a surprise they’re having a strong rally

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

Things will really change once Blackrock includes bitcoin:native in their capital market assumptions

[BlackRock @BlackRock]

Bitcoin’s role in portfolios is evolving, and it could be considered a complementary diversifier.

We believe a modest allocation (typically ~1–2%) could impact return potential in a portfolio while maintaining appropriate risk tolerance.

Hear more from Michael Gates on how bitcoin’s unique properties may complement traditional portfolios ⏩ https://t.co/hydyHrgFi5

#FinancialAdvisors #Cryptocurrency #Bitcoin

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@BTCoptioneer Allow it to to float freely, keep the dividend, remove the target peg

Keeping an asset fixed with high tail risk wont be an easy task

Even treasuries face volatility

Allow the market to decide what the yield needs to be, and Strategy gets more flexibility to issue shares

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@LuxAlgo Reality is most people buy at the top

Most are either barely up on their positions or underwater

Not many people had a position early in the year

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

Central banks expecting higher inflation for longer, rate hike expectations growing, and yields remain elevated

Meanwhile oil keeps falling and dollar remains strong

Conflicting signals, different outcomes

[حمد العلي @hamadsalali]

@Hedgeye Officially down 50% from its all time high

$50 soon