Hamid

Founder/CEO of Savvy Trader & Earnings Hub

CoHost of BuyHoldRant Podcast:

My portfolio & trades - near realtime:

[Hamid @hamids]

My portfolio (+812%) vs. S&P 500 (+83%). In 4 1/2 years since my portfolio has been public, I've outperformed the S&P 500 by ~10x.

I've been told consistently that it's nearly impossible to beat the S&P 500, yet I've been doing just that for ~25 years! Kind of wild.

What am I buying now? My portfolio is public and 100% free (link in bio). But if you must know, this year, I've been going heavy into $MU (my AI semiconductor bet, trading at a ridiculous forward PE of just 7, or a 70% discount to FPE of the S&P500), $META (my overall "amazing business" that's growing faster than peers with huge AI upside, yet trading at a massive discount) and $RIVN (my "future is EVs + Autonomy" bet, but on a company that has a ridiculously low valuation of just $22 Billion rather than $1.4 Trillion!).

I share my views and what I'm doing publicly, including alerts of when I make trades, but I don't give investment advice. Everything I share is for awareness and helping others learn from my transactions.

If it's helped you in any way, comment and say hi!

[Hamid @hamids]

@TslaBrew 💯

[Hamid @hamids]

Down 4.45% so far today on companies that are literally killing it! 😁 You gotta love the markets.

[Hamid @hamids]

@lordzpain7 Show your work. Where is $2 Trillion in debt?

[Hamid @hamids]

This is over a 10-year period. I love that a lot of people are running with the $825 Billion headline number to imply $META will go bankrupt soon!

For context, the company's CURRENT businesses pump out over $100 Billion of profits per year, growing at ~25% annually!

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

Meta Platforms $META said it has agreed to spend ~$825 Billion in the future on leases and contracts, many of them related to computing power and AI infrastructure - Bloomberg

[Hamid @hamids]

Yesterday, @dustinalper and I discussed $SPCX earnings in depth...The incredible beat, the datacenter rentals at $50/watt spot pricing, what it means for $NVDA and $MU and much more...What do you think?

[Hamid @hamids]

@AzizzUnited you could've just asked right here 🤷🏽‍♂️

[Hamid @hamids]

@GMjavanadz55896 When/if I do, subscribers get notifications immediately (and it's totally free to see/subscribe to the portfolio).

[Hamid @hamids]

@rayfaltinsky It's already about 1/3 of my portfolio! It seems like a great price for what will be a money printing machine for at least the next several years.

[Hamid @hamids]

@CalcioMaestoso That’s an incredibly dumb (and wrong) take. Rather than attacking the person, try to refute what is said. Did you, as a Tesla bull, expect near 0 growth for the past 4 years?

[Hamid @hamids]

$TSLA revenues for the past 4 years by quarter.

There are literally -0- Tesla Bulls who would have thought this level of stagnation in revenue was possible for each of the last 4 years.

[Hamid @hamids]

Ep 61: $META, $TSLA & $SPCX Earnings, Tesla Roadster, Muse Spark Opens https://t.co/XxaSQBKn40

[Hamid @hamids]

Join @dustinalper and I LIVE at 1pm Pacific / 4pm Eastern for Ep 61 of Buy Hold Rant where we'll talk about $META, $TSLA and $SPCX earnings, $RKLB, $MU and AI in general, plus the new Tesla Roadster demo, and sooo much more + your questions.

https://t.co/EJg833ijT9

[Hamid @hamids]

https://t.co/XxaSQBJPes

[Hamid @hamids]

Yeah, what Grok said!

Also, I never short stocks. I'm generally rooting for companies to succeed and I hope SpaceX achieves these goals. I just think it's irresponsible to set these expectations with shareholders and imply these goals are relatively conservative, which is what Elon did in the earnings call.

[Hamid @hamids]

I'm not saying Elon is making up the pricing - $50/watt is the current price based on extremely low availability (maybe low single digit GWs are available). It's not that SpaceX is getting a premium. That's what the current spot price is based on limited availability.

However, next year ~40 GW of data centers will go online and if everyone could get $50/watt for all of that new capacity, that would represent $2 Trillion of new revenue!

So something has to give...either the price per watt will come down, or everyone should sell their DC capacity and rake it in with < 1 year return on investment.

[Hamid @hamids]

Each of $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $META and $SPCX hope to bring 5-10GW of new AI data centers online in 2027. In SpaceX's case, maybe they hope to get to 20GW.

However, only @elonmusk is claiming that his 10-20GW will generate $500 Billion to $1 Trillion of ARR for SpaceX next year.

At this point, what's stopping the rest of the industry from saying "you know what, we can also sell our new capacity at $50/watt" and project MASSIVE revenue increases based on hypotheticals? Everybody should do this.

So what's the reason none of the others are making such claims? Are they dumb?

[Hamid @hamids]

At those numbers, the rest of the revenue is a rounding error!

The rest of the business is substantially below $100 Billion in 2027, that's assuming EVERYTHING DOUBLES!

SpaceX has become all about datacenter rental at spot pricing of $50/watt per year while they build the data centers for that or less!

[Hamid @hamids]

@osarood If Elon is right about his SpaceX projections, guess where his $500 billion of capex to build 20GW of data center is going!? Straight to $MU!

[Hamid @hamids]

At some point, this level of hubris (confidently predicting 2027 $SPCX revenue at $500 Billion to $1 Trillion), becomes indistinguishable from a scam.

Because where will that revenue come from?

Elon is assuming there is infinite demand for data center rentals at $50 per watt per year, even though it costs less than $50 per watt to build a data center. His assumption is that if SpaceX can put up 10-20GW of DCs x $50 per watt, that = $500-$1,000 Billion of revenue.

I think at best, it's irresponsible to set such expectations with your shareholders, and at worst, it's very hard to tell it apart from what a scammer might say.

[Hamid @hamids]

@j_a_w_s_o_c_k I downsized substantially. You can see every buy and sell by clicking on Rocket lab in my portfolio on savvy trader (link in my bio - it’s free)

[Hamid @hamids]

I recorded this video making the case for $RKLB in June of 2025, when the stock AND its revenue-run-rate was roughly 1/2 what it is today. Since this video, space has become far more important. Also Rocket Lab has solidified its ambitions into space-based communication (something I argued was a natural next-step for Rocket Lab) with the acquisition of Iridium $IRDM:

[Hamid @hamids]

It’s time we talk about $RKLB!

[Hamid @hamids]

I would argue that Elon goes off of his feeling rather than facts. Starship was supposed to take cargo & humans to Mars by 2022 and 2024, a million Robotaxis by 2020, Roadster 2 w/620 mile range by 2020, 1/2 price 4680 batteries with 2x range, 20 million Teslas by 2030, etc. etc.

Remember when he and Gwen promised to do 45-minute earth-to-any-point-on-earth flights regularly using Starship for the price of a first-class ticket? That was supposed to have happened years ago! They even made a video about it.

When someone has such a bad track record on his predictions and timing, it's their job to be persuasive on why they are right this time. Believing everything he says at face-value seems naive.