Top Tweets for #DefianceGMTgames
#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames
@markherman54
Finished Defiance simulation yesterday (rulebook pages final proofing image right). Into production now. 😀

#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames @markherman54
#UkraineRussiaWar️️️️ #UkraineWarNews #irregularwarfare
https://t.co/Vaj2mLQiub
First trailer for upcoming military simulation of initial 5 week Russian campaign and Ukrainian defense of #Kyiv and #Chernihiv. Preorder at: https://t.co/g4E4po7wfR
#DefianceGMTgames @gmtgames @markherman54
Back cover of Defiance box.
Publication day getting closer 😀
https://t.co/AegNmMSC5Y

#DefianceGMTgames @gmtgames @markherman54
Finished all components of our design tonight.
Just final proof reading now.
Long journey that became 3 1/2 years ago about complete.
Should be in the pipe for publishing very soon. 😀
https://t.co/AegNmMSC5Y

#DefianceGMTgames
Interesting article from @smallwars : https://t.co/iAEDrCPeTA
From that article "Key competitors from autocratic states are not content to merely control their own population; instead, they have “weaponized” social media with “algorithmic amplification” against Western societies." Agree. And so do their collaborators.
In Defiance, from @gmtgames , we have a war narrative mechanic that impacts political tracks; a rift on Napoleon's "In war, the moral is to the physical as three is to one" and strategic will.

#DefianceGMTgames
@markherman54
Defiance update...
https://t.co/AegNmMSC5Y
Defiance off to @gmtgames editing and final art 😀
Done tinkering until the edits come back...and there was MUCH rejoicing.
Time for a French 75 this evening.

@gmtgames #DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames #UkraineRussiaWar️️ #UkraineWarNews #irregularwarfare
We've also built the various foreign continents into Defiance. One here:
https://t.co/qrsjRIYoOD
#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames
#UkraineRussiaWar️️ #UkraineWarNews #irregularwarfare
Conducting concurrent conventional and irregular operations to defeat an aggressor stretches back a for few thousand years (The Peloponnesian War being among the most fertile ground for study). Pericles by @markherman54 from @gmtgames is a fab simulation of that concurrent conventional and irregularoccuring during the Pel War. Song of Wrath by Sarah Raughley is an outstanding read on the subject. @markherman54 recommended War in the Shadows by Robert B. Asprey as great related resource. Consequently, my nose buried in that at the moment.
One of the aspects we are modeling in Defiance (our simulation of initial invasion of Ukraine - the first 6 weeks upcoming from GMT Games), is partisan/SOF operations that choked Russian lines of communications in Kyiv and Chernihiv oblasts. We've done that with a VOVK (wolf) mechanic; as Russian units enter towns/woods/cross bridges, Russians are subject to "an occurrence"; a wide range of situations that may result in "friction" to their lines of advance.
It is baffling how incompetent, blind and unprepared the Russian MoD was during its invasion, given their experience invading other nations, this century and last, Related article here from awhile ago: https://t.co/qPbEs6eVjw
There has been a lot analysis regarding the effectiveness of Ukrainian partisan/SOF operations during the war. one @CSIS piece here: https://t.co/x46HyzGsmD
One dynamic we're keenly interested in is how Ukraine excelled at using a kernel of troops, enlisting & training citizens in settlement quickly and then executing an effective operation (of course, they've developed a comparative advantage over centuries given their experience with being invaded). There were reports of volunteers being trained in the field to use Javelins (who doesn't go to a YouTube vid to learn to do about anything these days?). Forbes reported on March 8, 2022 that about 300 Javelins were used in the first week. Other antitank weapons in the mix for volunteers included NLAWs, AT4s and MT12s. Some examples here:
https://t.co/v051GuM8Ny
...and
https://t.co/2uR5kIUlMK
Consequently, we simulated these "minutemen/women" occurrences with a unit that pop up, fight and then disperse (usually). Of course, we've also included a number of SOF units to also harass Russian LOCs.
@Danspiun 's quoted tweet below from early war shows Russian columns under attack; similar to what we have tried to model. Back to research 😀

1. To catch up I'll finally open a thread on Belarus-Kyiv axis of the 29th, 35th, + 36th Combined Arms Armies. Note I'll still cover Hostomel/Bucha/Irpin fighting in a separate thread. Day 1 Russian forces quickly took Chernobyl close to the Belarus border https://t.co/SMTP58M3H9
#DefianceGMTgames @gmtgames #UkraineRussiaWar️️ #UkraineWarNews #KtoRUS5tankBrigade
Tidding up OOB for Defiance:
https://t.co/g4E4po7wfR
Youtube video below is reported as Russian 5th Guards Tank Brigade crossing the border: NE Kyiv oblast (Kirov crossing?). VDV a little to the west appears to have taken a pontoon bridge.
https://t.co/exeiQk5pzJ
Regarding this column, counted:
82 vehicles:
14 tanks
19 trucks (infantry)
3 BUKs , 2 old school AA
1 TOR
18 BMP/IFV
24 others (cmd, eng, etc)
Didn't see any SPAs....maybe 6 Field Arty. May have missed it.
vehicles spaced at about 7.5 seconds each; posture appears to reflect no anticipated resistance. This appears to be a follow on force - which makes sense with what is missing from the formation.
BTG on paper structure at 142 vehicles. We do have a lot of data regarding how understrengthed many Russian units were. This checked in at 82. Is this a motorized rifle battalion? Just part of it (follow on?).
Chart right has a symbol - 2 triangles - 1 up, 1 down. Excuse my ignorance, does anyone know what it is?

#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames @markherman54
Been working with the bots last few days for Defiance simulation: https://t.co/g4E4po7wfR
The rules bot ("Tanya") really surprising now and very helpful. Using it instead of rulebook when play testing. And, Tanya likes to give tips on strategy, tactics, etc - that was a surprise - how spot on it was regarding strategy and how we are simulating the conflict...shocking in fact.
Research bot ("Tannie") contains analysis/data were found interesting and/or incorporated into our simulation from sources we are fanboys of. Tannie has been VERY useful in compiling a OOB, gauging unit performance, etc.
Both bots isolated from web. Plan to offer an app including them when we publish, but not associated with publisher; it's a home grown effort.

#DefianceGMTgames @gmtgames @markherman54
Shout to @moesgametable for coverage of Defiance
Demo of Defiance last night:
https://t.co/4ZsKn6S4DT

Started pulling this out. Hopefully we will see how it works tomorrow @HerrDr8 @markherman54 @gmtgames

#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames @markherman54
Great to see @smarkg52 and @USACGSC playtest of Defiance underway!

Well, we have started…trying to air assault into Hostomel

#DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames
Defiance hopefully getting a whirl tomorrow by @smarkg52 and @USACGSC . Looking forward to hearing the after action report.

Started pulling this out. Hopefully we will see how it works tomorrow @HerrDr8 @markherman54 @gmtgames

#1pageAssessUkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraine️️ #DefianceGMTgames
Outstanding analysis by @EliotACohen , @PhillipsPOBrien and @CSIS
Spot on!
Related (and luckily!), we baked much of this into Defiance
( https://t.co/g4E4po7wfR )
1) 3-1 odds as a way of determining combat outcome is BS: other factors at play
2) Importance of Troop Quality
3) Importance of partisan/SoF/guerrilla warfare occurring concurrently with conventional warfare

It figures strongly in the analysis given by @EliotACohen and I in our @CSIS paper (one of the most heavily downloaded of the year) The Russia-Ukraine War: A Study in Analytical Failure
https://t.co/2Sb1UymDI0
@gmtgames #DefianceGMTgames
@gmtgames
Really looking to feedback from @USACGSC and @smarkg52
regarding Defiance playtest in December.
And, very thankful they are giving the simulation a test drive. 😀


@SebastianBae 16-20 December...lots of games! We are starting with @gmtgames @markherman54 and @HerrDr8 upcoming Defiance!
#DefianceGMTGames
Interesting article from @wavellroom (quoted tweet below). This line caught my attention: "GMLRS is the only inservice system capable of operating in a GPS denied environment where air power is not available. It has both the range and punch to fight the deep."
Been thinking about how our work (a mate and mine's) regarding designing a simulation of the Russo-Ukrainian War v2022 - ? , Defiance @gmtgames , that reflects experience as a continuation of RMA (Revolution in Military Affairs) first modeled in by @markherman54 in Gulf Strike Victory Games 1983 (40+ years ago!).
Given that Defiance only models the first six weeks of the conflict (Kyiv/Chernihiv campaign) in Volume 1, its applicability to any subsequent conflict (ex: China v Taiwan) , may be limited due to continuing rapid evolution of warfare (ex: AI, bots, etc) and applicable political context. Something we hope to tackle in subsequent volumes if Defiance "works".
Anyways, interesting article from @wavellroom

"The current British warfighting division is formed around a core of armoured brigade combat teams (BCT), with main battle tanks and infantry...This is an out-dated, industrial age concept, no longer fit for modern high intensity operations"
https://t.co/8reqQGiKYY
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