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🛑🎯 #Final_Update
#Iberian_peninsula & #NorthAfrica
Full numerical weather prediction multi-model agreement has now emerged on a very wet phase, driven by Atlantic storm activity, across the western Mediterranean and Iberian Peninsula & North Africa , consistent with the multi-analog statistical ensemble forecasts I shared several weeks ago.
This wet phase may continue to affect northern and western Iberia, including Portugal, into the second decade of November.
Thereafter, a period of relative subsidence is anticipated across much of Iberia for the remainder of November, potentially giving way to another wet phase during the final days of the month.
The latter possibility is also emerging from my statistical analog ensemble's tentative outlook, which I will share tonight, covering the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa.
The multi-model agreement was shared by my friend Mr. José from Portugal @JCMCJCMCJCMC .

🚨#Update: SW #Europe & #IberianPeninsula 🇵🇹��🇸
A striking agreement has emerged between the numerical weather model forecasts for early November and my statistical analog ensemble forecast, issued weeks ago using 152 historical analog months selected to approximate November's atmospheric evolution .
The two upper maps show the 300 hPa and 850 hPa zonal winds (westerlies) from my statistical analog ensemble for the 1-12 November cadence. The two lower maps show today's CFS model updates, kindly shared by my friend CJ @JCMCJCMCJCMC from Portugal 🇵🇹.
Both approaches indicate enhanced atmospheric river activity over Spain and southwestern Europe as shown in the positive Zonal wind patterns , potentially bringing increased rainfall to the Iberian Peninsula and parts of central and NE Europe in the coming 12 days hopefully.
The enhanced westerly flow (highlighted in orange in the upper maps) may also transport additional moisture across Central Europe towards northeastern Europe. Where this moisture encounters upper-level cold-air systems, it could contribute to locally intense rainfall episodes.
Additional water runoff forecasts are included in the comments, with France 🇫🇷 and Germany 🇩🇪 among the main areas of concern during the November-December period.
Many thanks to @JCMCJCMCJCMC for sharing the latest model updates, and to @pyreweather for its integrated and accurate map reconstructions using NOAA CORe data -which lines up perfectly with model runs .
Kindly🙏 share ♻️ the early warnings, Early warnings save lives & Property ( 🧬🫎🚗)
Mr. M. @Statisticizer

#FINAL_UPDATE Al Mayadeen's correspondent says life went back to normal in Iran; all flights resume over Iranian airspace.
#Final_Update Police were behind a vehicle and it was spiked. It went through multiple neighborhoods and they finally got it stopped in the area of 2600 S 3400 W. 1 male in custody.


#Final_Update
Wisconsin recount is FINAL and the vote is now certified.
Trump gained a net 131 votes.

THE YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS' TABLE TALK (YETT)
#FINAL_UPDATE
"Joining is Free".
The meet up is on this Saturday 9th... https://t.co/RzCD5zxPgg
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