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hey @grok please expand, on expert mode, to encompass and include the entire globe with already referenced conversation on previous post with any other sources needed, and comment between 20-30 paragraphs.
we are in the phase of the Big Cycle when major powers are in military wars and that the various wars happening now are #interrelated, hence we are in a “world war,"
I have been asked by several people what I meant when I said “we are in a world war” in my most recent note. To be clear, I didn’t mean to convey that I expect a shooting war between the U.S. and China (or any of the great powers) anytime soon. What I meant is that we are in the phase of the Big Cycle when major powers are in military wars and that the various wars happening now are interrelated, hence we are in a “world war," with the sides lined up as I described and with the implications for each of the main players and the whole unfolding in relatively classic interrelated ways that I describe as a progression of the Big Cycle.
For example, it is now widely believed that if the U.S. fails to open the Strait of Hormuz to have free shipping and to protect its Gulf Allies from attacks, countries all around the world (most importantly in Asia) will conclude that the U.S. might not be the strong ally and countervailing force to China that they thought it would be. which will lead some to tilt economically and geopolitically more toward China in a number of ways - e.g. to buy less U.S. debt (which is what happened to the British in the Suez Crisis, bringing about the ultimate end of their Empire) - and it could lead others to build up their military capabilities. As I complete my nearly three-week trip in Asia, I can convey that what I am saying is based on a lot more than conjecture.
The reason I do not expect a U.S.-China military war soon, but I do expect a lot of brinksmanship, is because both nations realize that such a war would be devastating and that it would be impossible to fully win over the other, at the same time as they won’t want to give much. Also, each country believes in its own economic and political systems and that the outcomes of those systems will determine their relative powers. And both nations have critically important domestic issues to deal with. Some people in leadership positions, especially in China, believe that the relative health, wealth, and power levels between countries is not as important as their own absolute health, wealth, and power levels, and that helping each other build these rather than tear them down is most important. For example, they believe that the world will be a dangerous place if the U.S. and China don't have AI cooperations and controls, and they are concerned that AI can be weaponized. Most countries know that most wars in history were won by one of the sides secretly developing new technologically advanced weapons and showing them to their opponents.
So, I believe that both sides think that their wars will be non-military wars that will yield evolutionary changes in relative powers. As for how the Chinese will fight, and how the world order related to it will evolve, it will probably look more like the type of war described in the “Art of War” (which I suggest you read if you haven't), and for how the new international world order will evolve, to the extent that it is influenced by the Chinese, it will evolve to be more like the tribute system (which I suggest you understand if you don’t) than the existing world order.
At the same time, I expect that there will continue to be trade, capital, technology, cyber, and geopolitical influence wars between these great powers and that both will continue to have justifiable fears of being cut off from essential goods, services, and capital that will necessarily will greatly reduce imbalances and interdependencies as well as efficiencies in production and trade of goods, services, and capital. I also believe we will increasingly see these two powerful nations pressure each other because there is no other way to resolve disputes now that the rules-based multilateral world order has been replaced by a power-based, self-serving world order.
Said differently, I expect that China will be very strong in its defense without being very aggressive in its offense. That is not just for tactical reasons; it is also because China has strong cultural inclinations to be that way.
I hope this is helpful in clarifying my thinking and as always I'd be happy to answer any other questions or hear your thoughts.
Ray
The Power of ACCEPTANCE | How Acceptance Brings Balance in Life | Peace of Mind TV #peaceofmindtv #brahmakumaris #acceptance #powerofacceptance #lifebalance #motivation #balance #accept #acceptance #interrelated #power #powerful #stable #stability
绿色的极光犹如宇宙的绸缎在夜空中舞动,照亮了夜空与海洋,站在天地倒影之间,突然懂了“宇宙级浪漫”--抬头时,漫天都是心跳的频率。#摄影 #sstvi #大美中国 #China #interrelated #KingJames

“Change occurs in different ways: emotional, perceptual and behavioural.
- Insoo Kim Berg #interconnected & #interrelated

As in the famous tone of the freedom fighter, #NelsonMandela's words, @DNforHR re-echoes that #HumanRights are #universal #inalienable, #indivisible, #interdependent and #interrelated.
#Universal because everyone is born with and possesses the same rights, regardless of where they live in the world, their gender or race, or their religious, cultural or ethnic background.
#Inalienable because people’s rights can never be taken away.
#Indivisible and #interdependent because all rights including political, civil, social, cultural and economic are equal in importance and none can be fully enjoyed without the others.
They apply to all equally including the people in #Darfur region and all have the right to participate in decisions that affect their lives including to stop the #RSF and #SAF selfish war. They are upheld by the rule of law and strengthened through legitimate claims for duty-bearers to be accountable to international standards. This is why we need to stand #Together4justice in solidarity with the #Sudanese now more than ever.
@NEDemocracy @Internews @C4ADS @PriscillaYagu @AfricanCentre @Reuters @REDRESSTrust @Refugees @amnesty @USAIDSudan @AUC_PAPS @AUC_MoussaFaki @FranceauSoudan @StateDept @DefendDefenders @MSF_Sudan @EduInCrisis @DWAG6 @antonioguterres @hrw @kahixo @FionaVMcKay @nickopiyo @HelenDuffy_HRP @UNOCHA_Sudan @UNHCRSudan @IntlCrimCourt @AmnestyEARO @NRC_EAY @ICRC_Sudan @USSESudan @tomperriello @USAIDOTI @ngos4justice @mohhassan222

“如果你抑郁了,说明你活在过去;如果你焦虑了,说明你活在未来;如果你平静了,才说明你活在现在。” 安~我的朋友们,我这里是早晨,你们那里呢?☀️#mutualfollowing #interrelated

#Climatechange
The #impacts of climate change on different societies are #interrelated. #Drought can harm food production and human health. #Flooding can lead to disease spread and damages to #ecosystems and infrastructure.
#DiversityTuesday #AAFRCH

Valentines Day: અમદાવાદની મોટી બ્રાન્ડ TBDના કૉ-ફાઉન્ડર વિશે આ વાતો તમે જાણો છો?
#middaynews #middaygujarati #lifestyle #valentines #valentinesday #bakers #founder #aditihanda #snehjain #lovestory #lovequotes #business #interrelated
https://t.co/GDKvCXPE0H

Our scrambled landscape seems to bedevil us once more with humanity’s oldest & greatest problem, the fear of the other who's different than us.
#UniversalDeclarationOfHumanRights #Universal #Inalienable #Indivisible #Interdependent #Interrelated
https://t.co/ZSSa1q3mLG @AUSUVoice
Have you placed limitations on your life because you think you don't need anybody? You need other human beings to reach your potential. Forgive those who failed you & believe in others again.
#weneedeachother #believeinpeople #humanbody #interrelated #Godanswersprayers #UCLfinal

Dear #researchers,
Think of your research as an #interactive whole with #interrelated parts but take it one step at a time.
Ultimately, you will reach to little parts of the #truth but never the full and accurate truth.

In recent decades, the world has become a holistic system in which all its details are #interconnected, #interdependent and #interrelated. But we human beings, with our inward self-focus, are not yet #integrated into the emerging #world.

Erm. That's not ALL he said, and - even were the Gov't not simultaneously legislating forms of #censorship - Raab's argument is practically, constitutionally & logically #incoherent.
#HumanRights are #indivisible, #interdependent & #interrelated - there is no "pecking order"...

Raab on proposed British Bill of Rights: 'We’ve got to be able to strengthen free speech, the liberty that guards all of our other freedoms, and stop it being whittled away surreptitiously, sometimes without us really being conscious of it.' 👏👏👏https://t.co/emrUf9gHbW
"It really boils down to this: that all life is #interrelated. We are all caught in an inescapable network of #mutuality, tied in a single garment of destiny." (@mlkquotes)

https://t.co/hyMKTxm2tl
Johnson & Scholes identified 6 distinct but #interrelated elements
which contribute to what they called the “#paradigm”,
equivalent to the #pattern of the work #environment, or the values of the #organisation.

Deadline for abstracts submitted for the edited collection on the #interdependence of the #UNCRC is this Friday! #interrelated #indivisible #righttoplay #obligations #implementation #incorporation #interdependent
The lily pond metaphor adapted from Schein and Schein (2016), although simplistic, is great way to understand how the different elements of #culture are #interrelated #OUB329 #Week4 #learning
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