Top Tweets for #metaculus
"Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?" Is a far better question than "p(doom)?". #metaculus https://t.co/MCp5qSJgk8
We're thrilled to see https://t.co/wpuSgYTLVH join #Anthropic and #OpenAI in support of the #Metaculus AI Forecasting benchmark (sponsored by #OpenPhilanthropy)!
El sistema combina la comunidad de predicción #Metaculus y #ChatGPT4
Pregunta a Google hasta 6 veces y consulta 20 artículos para conseguir la información y prever posibles escenarios
https://t.co/lZqJHdqHNj
Por @nponjoan en @el_pais 🔒
Si Maduro pierde las elecciones, ¿entregará la presidencia?
Puedes responder en #metaculus: https://t.co/rTiwavDNKO
La respuesta puede ir desde 1% (muy poco probable) hasta 99% (muy probable).
(Mientras más personas participen mejor).
If the asi timeline turns out to be much longer than the current expected agi date, then we might have a chance of alignment if people genetically modify or augment humans to be smarter than they currently are. My agi timeline is same as #metaculus at around 2030. Most people think if we have agi then asi is expected to be just around the corner but maybe that is not the correct assumption.
Though Biden trails in many opinion polls, prediction markets are a more rational way to assess the likelihoods. 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? Biden 54%, Trump 37% right now. #metaculus https://t.co/ZxFh1s0alS
Excited that our initiative has been selected to take part in the FRO-casting tournament, hosted by #metaculus!
#FRO #forecasters #antibodies
https://t.co/ExrDZY075y
Ära der AGI steht vor der Tür!
#Metaculus, #Prognosen, #AGI, #ArtificialGeneralIntelligence, #KünstlicheIntelligenz, #SilverTuringTest, #Bewusstsein, #Menschenrechte, #Verantwortung, #Ethik, #MoralischePflicht, #RechtAufLeben, #Selbstbestimmung, #KI
https://t.co/AaFt23UAQ3
After an #AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first #superintelligence?
Current prediction, ie, as of May 3, 2023:
** 6.62 months **
#metaculus
https://t.co/NGx4Xsx25B
I am glad to see that @james_acton32 is learning how to stop worrying and (sort of) love nuclear forecasting. Read his views on the power of predictive analytics and simplicity in decision-making:
https://t.co/QUTrQHoirm #Metaculus @CarnegieEndow
Metaculus Predicts Weak AGI in 2 Years and AGI in 10
https://t.co/1MxK7lKbHx
#artificialintelligence #artificialgeneralintelligence #predictions #forecasting #metaculus
We at @UVA_BI are really excited about continuing this partnership with @metaculus and @VDHgov.
Metaculus, VDH, and UVA’s Biocomplexity Institute Announce the Launch of the Keep Virginia Safe II Forecasting Tournament #metaculus https://t.co/M0A4bpTjmD
Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?
Median is 58% on #metaculus https://t.co/5ZSGlAGGTH
Metaculus announced the winners of 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗛𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗼𝗻. Congrats to Giancarlo Vercellino of IDC Italy for winning the second prize on the Forecaster Evaluation category.
#idc #metaculus #datascience #hackathon #machinelearning #ml
First human in vitro gametogenesis in around 2032 according to Metaculus, I think sooner though
#metaculus https://t.co/WIp7w1ZqQm
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