#Bitcoin Historical Accumulation Zone
Historically, major #BTC corrections have formed their bottoms around the 100 SMA on the 2-week chart.
Could price go lower? Absolutely.
But trying to sell the exact top and buy the exact bottom is usually a losing game.
The goal is to recognize when long-term opportunities start appearing.
$BTC MAIN SUPPORT IS GONE
This is what a bear cycle looks like when it's almost finished
Not a crash - a slow grind of lower highs and lower lows until the last support breaks
That support just broke
One destination left: MA 350 at $47-51k
Been saying this since $107k. Nothing about this surprises me
NOTIFS ON!
#Bitcoin Trendline Retest Underway
Following the rejection at the weekly FVG, #BTC dropped into the lower FVG and is now likely to retest the trendline.
If buyers step in, this is where I'd expect it.
ACCORDING TO THE 4-YEAR CYCLE, $BTC BOTTOMS IN OCTOBER
Look how perfectly this lined up with the cycle:
1. Accumulation [2023-2024]
2. Mark-up [2024-2025]
3. Distribution [2025-2026]
4. Bear market (Now)
My target: $47-52k by October 6, 2026
FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
#Bitcoin
I shared this chart in January 2023 and again in October 2025.
For me, the bear market ends when the black line enters the orange zone.
Until then, I remain cautious.