SA July 20: more chop to come. The $QQQ $SPY NQ futures found support but it is on the 2nd 4hr bottom. That means the count in this daily cycle is still young. Both the 2hr and 4hr are left translated => bearish. This is probably the last daily for this weekly cycle and we are nearing the end of the weekly cycle. The higher cycles are always dominant over the shorter term cycles which means this daily cycle does not have to have a completed full cycle. If the weekly (and with that the daily) bottom is in you will see that in the price action, beacause the beginning of every new cycle is the most bullish and the weekly is a 5x bigger cycle than the daily which creates more movement. See also the end of March in the daily and weekly chart. Big candles in both. Ofcourse the 20% study will also has big numbers but not everyone has that data realtime. When it happens you will have lickely to much setups and to little margin in your account ;-) Happy trading @RichardMoglen@markminervini@MarkRitchie_II
SA July 14: some relief today but B/O likely not lasting. The NQ $QQQ $SPY still acting like clockwork despite the war in Iran or the tweets of President Trump @realDonaldTrump . This 4hr bottom was right on scedule. It's a right translated cycle so the expectations are a higher high in the 4hr. Happy trading #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen@BobLoukas
SA July 14: some relief today but B/O likely not lasting. The NQ $QQQ $SPY still acting like clockwork despite the war in Iran or the tweets of President Trump @realDonaldTrump . This 4hr bottom was right on scedule. It's a right translated cycle so the expectations are a higher high in the 4hr. Happy trading #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen@BobLoukas
SA July 13: expecting some more chop. The daily bottom for the $QQQ $SPY NQ futures is in. This 1st 4hr cycle is right translated => bullish. So a higher high (than this 4hr high) is expected. This is probably the last daily cycle of this weekly cycle. The last part of every cycle is the most bearish part, which does not mean a bearmarket! But bearish can also mean a sideways action. That's for now the most likely outcome I guess. That's because of the positive momentum in the weekly cycle and if you zoom out and look at the weekly cycle. What do you see? I do not see any bearish action. It's just a pause after a big move on a high level. That's not even a correction in price. It's just a correction in time. Thoose are the most bullish corrections. But that's for now the most likely price action. Nobody knows, so as @LindaRaschke always says"one bar at a time". Happy trading #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen
Nadie fabricó la pobreza.
Durante 200 mil años de existencia humana, la condición universal fue la miseria absoluta.
Sin excepciones.
Cada generación nacía, sobrevivía lo que podía y moría joven, hambrienta y expuesta a los elementos.
Eso no fue culpa de ningún sistema económico, no había sistema económico.
La pobreza no se crea, y np se puede crear, es el punto de partida.
Lo que necesita explicación es exactamente lo contrario.
Cómo algunos dejaron de ser pobres.
Esa es la pregunta que la clase política no quiere que hagas, porque la respuesta la deja sin trabajo.
Todo el discurso redistributivo arranca de una premisa invertida.
Asume que la riqueza es el estado natural y que alguien la está robando.
Que si hay pobres es porque alguien les sacó algo, pero no podés sacarle algo a quien nunca lo tuvo.
Lo que sacó a la humanidad de la miseria no fue un plan, ni un decreto, ni fue un comité de politicos decidiendo quién recibe qué.
Fue algo mucho más simple y mucho más difícil de aceptar.
Fue gente ahorrando. Acumulando capital. Produciendo más de lo que consumía. Invirtiendo el excedente en herramientas, en máquinas, en procesos que multiplicaron lo que un solo par de manos podía hacer.
Eso solo ocurre bajo una condición: Que nadie te saque lo que producís.
Propiedad privada.
Sin eso no hay ahorro posible, porque cualquier excedente se lo lleva el más fuerte.
Y sin ahorro no hay capital, y sin capital no hay productividad.
Y sin productividad estás exactamente donde la humanidad estuvo durante 199 mil de sus 200 mil años de historia.
Antes de 1800 el ingreso promedio real de un ser humano era practicamente indistinguible del de subsistencia.
Lo que cambió no fue la inteligencia humana ni la disponibilidad de recursos naturales.
Lo que cambió fue el marco institucional, donde se respetó la propiedad y se limitó la confiscación, la riqueza apareció.
Donde no, la miseria siguió intacta.
No es tan complicado de entender.
El político necesita que creas que la pobreza tiene culpables, porque si los tiene, él se ofrece como salvador.
Su carrera entera depende de esa inversión causal.
Te convence de que la riqueza es un pastel fijo que alguien cortó mal, y que él va a cortar mejor.
Pero la riqueza no es un pastel fijo.
Se crea.
Y se crea únicamente cuando dejás a la gente producir, ahorrar e intercambiar sin que un tercero se quede con la mitad en el camino.
SA July 8: near daily bottom, bearish 20pct @PradeepBonde is getting into the bullish range. The $QQQ and $SPY NQ is in it's latest stage of this daily cycle. The 12hr is a bearish cycle as is the daily cycle. Both show left translation cycles. Maybe we see a undercut of the daily cycle? We are in the last 4hr cycle of the daily cycle. The higher cycles are dominant over the lower cycles which means, the 4hr does not have to put in a complete cycle. That's why we are in the latest part of this daily cycle. It can turn any time this week. The picture (for now) is still very bullish. This chop is in the upper part of the run. The most the bears can do is to halt the uptrend? That's bullish. We have to wait for some sort of confirmation. "One bar at a time". @LindaRaschke Happy trading. #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen
SA July 8: near daily bottom, bearish 20pct @PradeepBonde is getting into the bullish range. The $QQQ and $SPY NQ is in it's latest stage of this daily cycle. The 12hr is a bearish cycle as is the daily cycle. Both show left translation cycles. Maybe we see a undercut of the daily cycle? We are in the last 4hr cycle of the daily cycle. The higher cycles are dominant over the lower cycles which means, the 4hr does not have to put in a complete cycle. That's why we are in the latest part of this daily cycle. It can turn any time this week. The picture (for now) is still very bullish. This chop is in the upper part of the run. The most the bears can do is to halt the uptrend? That's bullish. We have to wait for some sort of confirmation. "One bar at a time". @LindaRaschke Happy trading. #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen
SA July 7: chopfest. The $QQQ and $SPY NQ index is in it's latest stage of this daily cycle. The chop is also visable in the cycles. This 2hr cycle is left translated, but this 4hr cycle is right translated. What we see in the daily and 12 hr chart is a volatility contraction. At some point, price has to show it's color. Because of the momentum in the weekly - which is still up - the expected move is up. But, we are in the last part of the weekly cycle. Often what you see is a false break to the upside which sucks in a lot of breakout traders who have to sell on the false break. There are of course other possibilities. For now, some small correction into the daily bottom. Happy trading #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen #AI
As we’ve said repeatedly there’s about five separate and distinct reasons that each guarantee 100% failure rate of socialism. A new one to discuss today is the fact that it focuses on redistributing a fixed amount of national wealth while, at the same time, completely eliminating any motivation to create wealth in the future causing immediate growth stagnation.
Isn't it ironic? The ally you're funding in war is the same one charged with sabotaging your energy infrastructure and devastating your economy. The irony isn't lost on me. 🇩🇪🇺🇦🇷🇺
SA July 2: some rotation and a bit more chop expected. The $QQQ and $SPY NQ futures made their expected 4hr bottom. This cycle was right translated which means a higher high (than the one, two days ago) can be expected. But we are at the last part of this daily cycle, which means we can expect some pressure. It can be in time or in price. You can spot a traingle in the price of this last daily cycle. It's nothing else than a volatility contraction or some sort of flag. Most of the time in such a bullish price action you see a break out to the upside. Maybe when this daily cycle is done or it can happen now any time. Nobody knows, so we see bar by bar. Happy trading #NQ_F #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100 #FuturesTrading #Stock #stockmarkets #cycles #SP500 #SPX #MarketStructure #MarketTrends #MarketWatch $SNDK $MU $NVDA $WDC $STX #TradFi @RichardMoglen
SA June 30: cautiously bullish. The first 2hr cycle in $QQQ and $SPY was right translated as is the 4hr which we are in now. So after that bottom the expectancy is a higher high after that bottom. We are in the 2nd half of the (4th) daily cycle. The beginning of the 12hr showed overlap and that is not a strong sign. The 12 hr was left translated and so is the daily up untill now. I don't expect that high gets broken because we are late in this cycle. More chop to come probably? Happy trading
SA June 30: cautiously bullish. The first 2hr cycle in $QQQ and $SPY was right translated as is the 4hr which we are in now. So after that bottom the expectancy is a higher high after that bottom. We are in the 2nd half of the (4th) daily cycle. The beginning of the 12hr showed overlap and that is not a strong sign. The 12 hr was left translated and so is the daily up untill now. I don't expect that high gets broken because we are late in this cycle. More chop to come probably? Happy trading