Remember when we learned that our wealthiest and most powerful people were connected to a guy who ran a literal child sex trafficking ring? And then that guy died mysteriously in a jail? And now we just don't talk about it.
bitcoin:native "Bottom in?" 🤔
⚠️Here comes a VERY important HTF update, with the next key level you need to watch now!
The most critical question you ask on the HTF:
Where is liquidity accumulating, and where is it being absorbed to build positions?
... that tells us to which side larger positions are likely being built. This then helps us to understand if we are in a phase of accumulation or distribution.
Most of the time, price trades within a range. Occasionally, we leave that range and search for the next area of fair value, where a new balance starts to form. By combining structure, volume and OrderFlow, we can get a pretty good idea of whether that range is more likely to resolve higher or lower.
We generally differentiate between:
🔸 Accumulation → a range we expect to eventually leave to the upside.
🔸Distribution → a range we expect to eventually leave to the downside.
Let’s go back to the ATH-Distribution:
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At first glance, everything still looked bullish: Higher highs. Higher lows. No reason to get bearish, right?
Not necessarily. You need to understand what is happening behind the candles.
The first warning sign was volume: Price continued to push higher, while volume kept declining. That tells us something important: The higher price went, the less participation we saw from buyers. In a healthy bullish trend, you ideally want price expansion to come with increasing participation. Instead, price was moving higher while demand was gradually drying up.
Now look at the highs themselves: Yes, price kept printing higher highs, but almost every breakout was quickly rejected back below the previous high. Swing Failure Pattern after Swing Failure Pattern.
And when looking at the OrderFlow, the picture became even clearer: Each breakout attempt attracted fresh longs. Breakout traders chased. Shorts got stopped. Market buys hit the offer. Yet price failed to reward those buyers.
Why?
Because passive sellers were sitting on the other side, providing enough supply to absorb the aggressive buying. Price didn’t need to move higher to find sellers.
The longs were absorbed, price fell back below the highs, those new buyers became trapped, and eventually their exits helped accelerate the rejection.
These are the footprints larger players leave behind: Institutions cannot simply smash huge market orders into the book without paying for it through slippage and spread. If you want to build a large short position, you need buyers on the other side.
Where do you find them? Above obvious highs.
Short stops become forced market buys. Breakout traders chase the move. That aggressive buy flow gives passive sellers exactly the liquidity they need to distribute size.
Eventually, the buying dries up. The bids supporting price get pulled, repeated breakout attempts fail, and once the distribution is complete, price moves aggressively lower.
During the entire downtrend, we saw this pattern repeat. Rallies repeatedly left weak lows with sell-side liquidity below remained untouched, while buyers got absorbed and trapped into the highs.
More importantly, the broader downtrend came with increasing volume, showing strong participation on the way down. Meanwhile, those counter-trend rallies happened on declining volume.
In other words:
Strong participation lower. Weak participation higher.
Classic re-distribution.
But now something has clearly changed!
The HTF Shift (now): Sellers are Losing Control!
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For the first time during this bear market, we are seeing the opposite behavior!
Instead of sell-side liquidity remaining untouched while buyers get trapped at the highs, we are now seeing sell-side liquidity actively tested and absorbed.
Breakdown attempts are failing. Sellers chase into the lows. Fresh shorts open. But price refuses to continue lower.
Passive buyers absorb the aggressive selling, price reclaims the lows, and those shorts become trapped. That is exactly the behavior you expect to see during accumulation.
Volume is confirming the shift as well: For the first time, price has been moving lower while volume is declining. That tells us sellers are gradually losing participation and control.
We identified the strong low early, talked about it repeatedly, and unsurprisingly the market eventually produced a much stronger move higher, this time accompanied by increasing volume!
That is very different from what we saw throughout the rest of this bear market.
So yes, the evidence currently points toward accumulation.
OrderFlow confirms it.
Structure supports it.
Volume supports it.
But does that mean the bottom is in?
That is a different question.
The Game Plan & Key Levels:
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As explained, we identified this accumulation phase early and have already loaded up on spot BTC in the $60K–$65K range as shared here multiple times. Whether the absolute bottom is in or just extremely close, we are perfectly positioned.
Here is the roadmap to watch:
$83K (HTF Structure Break): We remain technically bearish on the HTF until we break above ~$83K. Clearing this supply zone confirms a macro structure change, meaning there is a very high change the bottom is in.
$74K (The Range VAH): If we reject current prices, this is the must-hold level for bulls. As long as bulls defend the Value Area High, a structural breakout remains very possible next.
$55K–$58K (The Liquidity Sweep): If we lose $74K, expect a rotation back down through the rPOC and rVAL. This could end with a final sweep of the liquidity resting below $58K down to about $55K.
We are in a accumulation phase. If we get a final sweep into the mid-50s, it’s a massive buying opportunity. If we break structure at $83K, we simply ride the continuation upward.
Either way, we are well prepared!
https://t.co/NEjIoyBuTb
bittensor:native (cryptocurrency) analysis August 2026
These videos are for educational purposes only and should never be considered as investment or trading advice. Always make your own plan based on your own system and take ownership. Always consult an expert before putting capital at risk.
The TAO chart has been downtrending for more than two years with each macro range shifting lower and lower and bounces from range low becoming weaker and weaker.
On the local level the $218 level is significant and ideally bulls will want to see that held and above there is a major SR on the .382 which recently rejected price.
My bias is that this asset will eventually break lower based on current data, however a higher low and a positive shift in the structure will change that view, but that would require a significant effort from the bulls.
We have seen bitcoin:native ethereum:native and solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 show some strength, however this is not reflected in the broader market. As we get later into September risks will likely pick up, so be cautious of euphoric calls in that phase.
As always, thanks to those who support the channel.
L2 offer expires in 31st August
https://t.co/48REtnYjfI via @YouTube
I checked these bitcoin treasury companies from peak to trough, that lured in retail last year. This doesn't include the long list of altcoin treasury companies that also listed last year, with similar moves down.
$SMLR acquired by $ASST
$LQWD -95%
$NAKA -99.76%
$FLD -97%
$SWC -96%
$DDC -98%
$MATA -99%
$BSTR (SPAC merger didn't go ahead)
$BRR -92%
$CINGF -98%
$SATS -100% SHUT DOWN
$H100 -94%
$ASST -97%
$SQNS -96%
Also $XXI -93% (Jack Mallers)
Not on the list above: $MSTR and $MTPLF had been around before, and didn't hire influencers to rug retail, while enriching insiders (as far as I can tell).