@fcb_walssee@Rmoneybets13@LADEig Same logic. There's also a mechanic that weights recent stats and decays older ones. obviously Nov/Dec games shouldn't mean much in the playoffs. It uses a rolling 45–50 day window, so playoff games and stats carry more weight as they come in. Just need more playoff games.
@fcb_walssee@Rmoneybets13@LADEig my model learns HCA from a 1258. It started at 3 and has drifted to around 1.8. The market can set the line wherever it wants but if the true HCA is 1.8 thatss the. If a team consistently overperforms or underperforms at home, the estimate drifts in that direction.