Australian Swan

Looking for beat up value/growth stocks for 50-100% annualized returns.

Acc strictly made to keep pulse on the market and journal my trades.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@rodrigoaan @crisronalssi There is resistance around $50 so it could trade sideways there for a bit but with all the previous selling I don't think there will be much selling pressure on the way up.

By year end I can see us in the $64-$68 range.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@bobspaysubstack @remington00 Would prefer buybacks sub $40 or paying down debt. Improving the balance sheet would improve the price discovery on the stock.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

$FOUR finally catching a bid.

Sympathy for whoever sold at the new low this morning, looks like the reversal could now be underway.

[U.S. Central Command @CENTCOM]

The Strait of Hormuz remains open for transit.

[Javier Blas @JavierBlas]

The drop in nitrogen fertilizer prices has now extended into Asia. India has received offers for its latest urea tender at an average price of $530 per tonne, down ~44% from $947 per tonne in April.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@Shift4 Decided to buy some vertical call spreads here instead. Good upside risk-reward.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

$FOUR #Shift4 @Shift4 bounces off the August 2, 2022 opening price during the NBA Finals with the World Cup right around the corner.

If shorts want to push it to $29 I'm prepared to go all-in.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@CurryorNothing @tlaubers Are you trolling? He sold for taxes.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

$CIEN down 33.1% peak to trough in 6 days

$ARM down 27.7% peak to trough in 7 days

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Wow
https://t.co/Wt2E5B5qzu

[WOLF @WOLF_Financial]

YOUR BRAIN HAS BEEN WIRED FOR 6 MILLION YEARS TO SEEK CERTAINTY

Trading requires the exact opposite.

This is what separates competent traders from everyone else:

"The brain is biased to seek certainty. It wants to be right. It's survival value that's been built into our system for 6 million years. Ultimately what you have to do is retrain the brain so that it's more probability based. You have a mindset that manages uncertainty to be able to build probability rather than to look for certainty. Completely different animals."

Trading psychologist Rande Howell on why intelligence alone is not enough.

The market does not reward people who need to be right. It rewards people who can manage uncertainty and let probability play out across many trades.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@michaeljburry You're forgetting about $FOUR, that one's hated even more

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@CheddarFlow Smallest premiums I've ever seen

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@tembelvitesi The charts are getting tighter and tighter, coiled springs.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@michaeljburry Perfect music to continue the bull run, thanks!

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@tembelvitesi The higher those tickers go the less upside and the more risk there is.

The lower $FOUR goes, the less downside, less risk, and more upside potential.

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

More workers are raiding their 401(k)s as average balances fall, Fidelity has said.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@michaeljburry Market going up this month, hang tight Burry

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@TomSmith839 Keep in mind these patrons are likely to stay at hotels powered by Shift4 as well.

[Australian Swan @humiditybelow]

@michaeljburry Burry it's best to pile on when panic starts, why are you shorting while everyone is still super optimistic and earnings keep increasing?