iimsys

[iimsys @iimsys]

all shocks are random, but some shocks are less random than others

[iimsys @iimsys]

Monthly Performance Update

[iimsys @iimsys]

@mbwheats he'd probably still be in business and doing well if he simply didn't have a twitter account

[iimsys @iimsys]

The idea that you can gain edge from performing "Analysis" on the same information as everyone else is laughable

[iimsys @iimsys]

@orrdavid It's cool that we can play the same game as them. Sometimes they make it seem like that isn't the case by spewing complexity.

[iimsys @iimsys]

My $ARKK and $SPY strategies are exactly the same except one picks stocks from the ARK etf universe and one from the S&P universe.

Since inception:
ARK strat is up 13% vs ARKK
SPY strat is up 51% vs ARKK

[iimsys @iimsys]

wtf is my quant doing

[iimsys @iimsys]

in march 2000 the nasdaq was up 529 percent over the prior five years

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

BURRY: CUT TECH EXPOSURE AMID BUBBLE FEARS

Michael Burry warns markets are showing bubble-like signs driven by AI hype and momentum trading, urging investors to reduce tech stock exposure and “reject greed.”

He advises raising cash and avoiding aggressive bets like shorting, which he says is too risky and costly for most investors.

Burry, known for predicting the 2008 crash, says current conditions resemble the late 1999–2000 dot-com bubble and sees tech valuations as stretched.

[iimsys @iimsys]

In six to twelve months @citrini is going to publish a report about how AI will create massive demand for advertising (in a plethora of ways). It will probably be one of the best calls.

[Dane Knecht 🦭 @dok2001]

We finally convinced @eastdakota to let us do billboards in SF. I can’t wait to see them in person later this month.

[iimsys @iimsys]

@zachtratar the way I see it is they're very confident in long-term positioning so they aren't rushing/gaming metrics to prove anything to the markets

[iimsys @iimsys]

My $SPY benchmarked strategy (picks stocks only from the SPY basket using the same filters/parameters) is up 45% vs. $ARKK since 1-16-2026.

Currently holding
$ADI
$AMAT
$APA
$CAT
$CIEN
$FCX
$GEV
$GLW
$KEYS
$LRCX
$MU
$SNDK
blockstack:native
$TER
$WDC

[iimsys @iimsys]

The biggest challenge in trying to beat $ARKK by only picking equities held in the ARK basket is they are almost exclusively shitbeta meaning I am getting none of the lead/qualbeta exposure from semis/AI like I am in my other strats

[iimsys @iimsys]

And my strategies explicitly *try* to filter out all shitbeta. As a result I'm only getting ~9-15 out of 96 tickers from ARK etfs eligible for trading in the recent months.

Current holdings:
$ABNB
$AMD
$AVGO
$BWXT
$CAT
$NVDA
$ROKU
$TER
$TSM

[iimsys @iimsys]

API connection test from local trading setup - 2026-05-05 11:28:53 ET

[iimsys @iimsys]

@haridigresses

[iimsys @iimsys]

my $8/mo trading stack:

$DOCN VPS -$6/mo
Alpaca/Public API - free
BrightData for collecting data ~$2/mo
$NET pages for publishing daily track record - free

results so far:
$SPY strat: 18.89%
ARK strat: (10.24%)

non-benchmarked strats:
9.68%
1.41%
(7.01%)