ingruc

Pro Investor @etoro : Passion for markets & business | Real portfolio, real trades |💰$10M copying 📈19% p.a. since 2020.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

Very glad to be on eToro's podcast again, with some timely topics:
🛢 Oil: More is flowing via Hormuz again, stabilizing oil markets. Geopolitical risks remain, but the high prices of early 2026 might eventually turn out to be the exception.

💵 Inflation & the Fed: inflation in the 3-4% area forces central banks to be more hawkish again.

📉 Software: probably undervalued due to overblown AI-extinction fears.

📈 Markets: have probably run a little hot by now, and could correct in the second half of 2026. Rotation from AI to other sectors might be on the horizon.

Enjoy!
Thanks @maxwi_etoro and @eToroDE
#Oil #Inflation #AI

[eToro DE @eToroDE]

Neuer Podcast🎧
Ingvar Rückemann, Pro Investor bei eToro, und Maximilian Wienke sprechen über den Ölpreis unter 80 US-Dollar, den restriktiveren Ton der Fed und warum die Micron-Zahlen zum wichtigen Test für die KI-Story werden könnten.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

$RNG closed with +88% ✅

🚀Very strong contribution from this stock to the portfolio's numerous all-time-highs in 2026!

📅I first bought the stock in January 2025, then added a lot more during early 2026 - weighted average time invested was therefore less than 8 months!

🔄Efficient use of capital, which can now be redeployed to new opportunities.

👉Want to know more? Check out the portfolio here:
https://t.co/56wmdbslCE

or sign up here:
https://t.co/o6AisQqg16

#ValueInvesting #etoro #CopyTrading

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

🤩Fascinating topic:
$200B+ in IPOs are coming this year. Just 3 companies will get most of it.

🚀SpaceX: looking for $75B, might list as early as June.

🤖Anthropic might look for $60B, OpenAI for $40B - amounts are moving targets, but they will be massive!

❗️Those 3 companies alone would raise $175B, more than ever before in a year.

Truly massive moves underway, buckle up for an eventful IPO season!
#SpaceX #Anthropic #OpenAI #IPO

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

📽 Glad to be featured again in "Börsenwelt Kompakt" with eToro's Max Wienke!

In this episode, among others:
• Strait of Hormuz:
👉Both sides try to build leverage by blockades on the seas

• What does @ing_ruc do during geopolitical crises:
👉 usually no major changes in the portfolio, strategy is designed to outperform over the long-term, markets tend to "forget" such crises quickly

• Market psychology:
👉 How to avoid wrong investment decisions during phases of market stress

Enjoy!
Ingvar

[eToro DE @eToroDE]

Börsenwelt Kompakt

Heute zu Gast: Ingvar Rückemann, Popular Investor bei eToro

US-Aktien auf Rekordhoch, während die Straße von Hormuz angespannt bleibt und der Ölpreis steigt.
Wie passt das zusammen – und welche Fehler Anleger in volatilen Phasen vermeiden?

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

👉 Bottom line: Expect markets to reach some semblance of normality around August 2026 - roughly 4 months from now, and obviously dependent on the ceasefire holding.
#OIL #LNG #Hormuz

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

🛢 The Strait of Hormuz is open again! 🛢
What is the timeline for $OIL markets to stabilize?👇
1⃣ Immediate impact (next 1-2 weeks)
• Iran has agreed to coordinated safe passage for the ships stuck in the Gulf.
• The first cargoes of oil and LNG that were already on the water should start reaching Asia and Europe within days.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

2⃣ The ramp-up timeline - how long until things feel “normal”?
This will take longer. Possibly something like this:

• Oil production restart: 2–4 weeks. Wells, separators, and processing plants need careful checks and pressure rebuilding before Gulf countries can restore the 10 million barrels per day they cut during the closure.

• LNG restart (Qatar’s Ras Laffan): 4-7 weeks for the undamaged parts. The pipes must be cleared of moisture before they can safely cool gas back to -160°C. Otherwise they risk equipment damage.

• Shipping and logistics: 1-3 months of delays. Many supertankers have rerouted to the Atlantic due to the blockade. They will complete their current journeys and only then pivot back to the Middle East.

• Refineries: A few weeks for routine restarts, but could be several months for plants that were emergency-shutdown.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

@jaynemesis 😆

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

Just the $SPX jumping +3.5% after "very good and productive conversations" between US and Iran over the weekend.

Maybe the first small steps towards a resolution?
Markets are certainly hoping so.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

@PI_LuMarx @eToroDE Danke für das Feedback @PI_LuMarx !

Stimmt, gerade das Thema Gas wäre heute natürlich sehr aktuell gewesen!

Die gesamte Thematik wird uns sicher noch eine Weile beschäftigen, kann man dann vielleicht in einer weiteren Folge mit aufnehmen :)

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

🛢🛢 A timely conversation with @etoro's @maxwi_etoro about $OIL and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

❗This is by now the most important topic for global markets, and it is steadily evolving: Even in the 24h since we recorded this podcast, the situation has escalated further.
Iranian gas fields were attacked, and in response Qatar's gas fields came under missile fire, sending $NATGAS prices in Europe up some +20% today.

Clearly lots of moving parts. I hope that Max and I can help create some context with this video.

👇 Here are some key takeaways from our conversation:
• Currently around 7-8% of global crude oil supply missing
• 100$ oil = +0.5% US inflation is a realistic scenario
• 120$/130$ oil = recession risk increases significantly
• Oil products (e.g. diesel, jet fuel), also impacted since refineries in the Gulf can't export or produce
• IEA emergency release of 400 million barrels important and feasible (8 billion global reserves)
• But: Opening of Hormuz is really the only tenable way to solve the crisis
• Increasing pressure on warring parties to find a solution

🤔Should one buy oil companies now?
• Not my opinion, I decided to sell my last remaining oil stocks ( $HBR) when oil was around 100$ per barrel
• Long-term, I believe oil prices will rather trend downwards relative to current levels
• Market broadly agrees, with oil prices for delivery in late 2026 at less than 90$ and less than 80$ for 2027 (vs current spot prices of 110$)

https://t.co/hlorHdsUKu

[eToro DE @eToroDE]

Börsenwelt Kompakt

Heute zu Gast: Ingvar Rückemann, Popular Investor bei eToro

Die Situation in der Straße von Hormuz hat die Ölpreise auf über 100 USD getrieben und setzt einige Sektoren unter Druck.

Wie reagiert der Markt auf diese Unsicherheiten?

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

@low_IQ_trader For sure. Selloff might be over, stock has been stabilizing recently.

Chances are that fundamentals take over again and drive the stock higher to where it should realistically trade!

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

$DBX: The Buyback Machine🤑

👉With >$900M free cash flow p.a. and a beaten-down share price the company could theoretically buy back 14% of all outstanding shares in 1 year.

Even if revenues stagnate, the cash-generation is exceptional!
FCF per share has been increasing for years, now stands at $3.4 vs a share price of $24.

🌟The buyback machine works in favor of shareholders.
#DBX #Buybacks #FreeCashFlow

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

$PYPL: IF Stripe really wants to buy it, they'll have to pay up.💵

PayPal:
👉One of the world's best-known brands
👉Churns out $5-6B cash flow every year.

Hard to imagine that the board OR current shareholders would sell it for just $43B.

#PayPal #Stripe #StocksInFocus

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

$RNG: Cash Machine + Growth.
💰$530M free cash flow in FY25, forecast to grow +11% in FY26.

📈Stock is higher after earnings.

👉Probably much more upside ahead. For that kind of growth, the stock is still dirt cheap around $2.7B Market Cap (fully diluted).

#RNG #ValueInvesting #CashFlow

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

$YELP: Must be one of the most undervalued companies right now.

📊Market Cap $1.3B. NO debt, but $0.3B cash instead.

💵Oh, and it reported >$300M free cash flow for FY25.

🔥FCF-yield explodes, and you currently buy the whole company
👉at basically same price as during the Covid crash
👉but with double the revenues and cash flow.

#YELP #ValueInvesting #CashFlow

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

Full podcast here:
https://t.co/nDEI6Verfq

@eToro
@maxwi_etoro

[eToro DE @eToroDE]

In der neuen Folge "Börsenwelt Kompakt" werfen Ingvar Rückemann, Popular Investor bei eToro, und Maximilian Wienke einen Blick auf die aktuelle Marktlage: https://t.co/sBAS6NAsMf

Deutliche Sektorrotation weg von Tech hin zu Zyklikern
KI-Investitionen hoch, Monetarisierung bleibt entscheidend
US-Daten gemischt, Fed-Kurs weiter unsicher
Märkte erwarten zwei Zinssenkungen 2026
ZEW-Rückgang dämpft Hoffnung auf schnelle Erholung

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

🎙️ New podcast episode available!
A broad discussion about current trends in the market👇

🔄 Sector rotation
Tech showing some softness into 2026; others (e.g. Materials & Energy) benefit.

🤖 AI boom = massive capex
Spending wave continues - concerns about ROI rise again.

[ingruc @ing_ruc]

🥇 Metals
Gold & silver cooling after the rally = healthy consolidation.
Long-term case for gold remains due to debt issues in many countries.

₿ Bitcoin
“Digital gold”narrative currently under pressure.
But adoption is now mainstream, likely with demand for years to come.