Ingmar

Ex-Mathematician at European Space Agency, World traveler

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@BissiChrissi Only because some crap goes to zero doesn't mean its oversold or cheap

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@annanay I agree, it's more important to be invested than ever. What's your favorite way to be long more than 1.0x ? (1.0-2.5x range)?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@annanay @QFEX Congratz! Also agree that equity will be important in the age of AI. What is your recommended way to leverage (safely?) to 2x ? 100M in volume .. how does that break down into profit for an exchange .. 10k-100k range?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@BissiChrissi @QuintenFrancois Jep was growing like a powerlaw until now c * (t - 1.1.2009)^5 roughly. Not linear c * (t - 1.1.2009)^1 .. and also not yet exponential e^(t - 1.1.2009) .. might at some point grow exponential like 1.05^years .. in line with real inflation .. similar to gold

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@__paleologo What are your favorite accounts regarding ML (in finance) / actually used systems? Just read your book 👌

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@CryptoCon_ Log mvrv is a good chart .. you either assume that RV drops significantly or you were drawing the dot wrong .. 0.8 Mvrv would be 40-44k .. 1.0 Mvrv = 50-55k

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@apsk32 Did you also check the BTC/Eggs and BTC/Venezuelan Bolivar? .. might also not look good

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@systematicls discord link to onlyquants pls sir

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@dgt10011 Volatility did fall as Bitcoin matured as you can see in past data. But sure if you dont respect people that restate what historical data says that's up to you

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@moneyordebt It is spreading like a virus. The "infection rate" is the "goodness of the idea minus difficulty to understand it". Obviously we have diminishing returns as infected / uninfected ratio grows. Some people I guess are immune too by having low IQ 😂. When are we modeling that?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@ChrisBeamish_ @glassnode Whats the lookback for computing mean and std? For interpretability I am very much prefering the non standardized version since it shows how much holders are in profit - or am I missing something? This version could have the benefit that it adjusts better to dead coins

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@0xaporia @0xChicoiner What data did you use? I can imagine that Bitcoin was trending a lot more in 2010-2020 lets say than now .. would be interesting only the last 1 or 2 cycles (if not already done)

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@PidgeonTrades Well if enough people with enough coins believe in the 4 year cycle its happening again .. looking at MVRV on a log scale bottom could be around 55-60k .. what are good farming pools?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@bitcoindata21 Also what are your favorite ones? Mvrv ..what else?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@bitcoindata21 What data points are lining up .. local bottom?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@caprioleio Wouldn't mind that upgrade, however what metrics show you that institutional buying is drying up? At least Realized Cap has been going up nicely while price stayed roughly stable +- 10% the last half year

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@mert Use a deck of highest frequency words in Anki (better than duo)

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@icobeast @jessepollak @base What's the bag though

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@benjamincowen Is there any predictive value in that?

[Ingmar @ingmar068]

@CryptoVizArt @sminston_with Yes Aviv is great indeed, i also prefer it over the powerlaw (guess its a good fair value, but no long-term predictor)