Jan Duchoslav

Research Fellow @IFPRI | Economist working on food security, social protection, resilience, rural transformation | 🇲🇼 🇨🇿 🇪🇺

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

Suppliers of fertilizer to AIP are to be paid in Kwacha and find their own sources of forex to import the commodity. Let's hope that enough of them will be able to - and will want to - do that.

https://t.co/xYrzj9cIkK

[IFPRI Malawi @IFPRIMalawi]

📣🆕 @IFPRIMalawi blog 📰: "Responding to El Niño in Malawi."

By @j_duchoslav, @MazvitaSheila, Simon Denhere, Rodwell Mzonde, George Phiri & Joachim De Weerdt.

Read it here 👉https://t.co/4UeiKgka9Y

[IFPRI @IFPRI]

#ElNiño-driven drought has harmed #Malawi's maize crop, putting food security at risk.
Faced with limited funds & time, importing food might be the only no-regrets option for the country.
@WFP_Malawi @CIMMYT @FAOMalawi @j_duchoslav @MazvitaSheila @CGIAR
https://t.co/th0hD8k4Rk

[IFPRI @IFPRI]

#Malawi is heading towards a severe food crisis later this year after an #ElNiño induced mid-season dry spell—the worst in the last hundred years—affected the harvest of #maize, the staple food grown by nine out of 10 farming households.

Learn more: https://t.co/LsSX8fR06p

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

Read more in @IFPRI’s blogs on the negative impact of #ElNino on #maize production in Southern Africa https://t.co/LBwET2BEBg and on what Malawi can do to cope: https://t.co/rLOxMBLUXx

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

#Zambia knows that the early bird gets the worm. #Malawi should also import now while some #maize is still available in the region. Soon, there will be precious little of it left—and it will be more expensive.
https://t.co/RKsDlBWVvn

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@threadreaderapp unroll

[Yohan @yohaniddawela]

Measuring agricultural GDP at a pixel level is notoriously challenging.

It requires precise information on crop type and crop yield.

Now, @esa has launched a (free) dataset that provides this information.

Here's what you need to know about it:

[IFPRI @IFPRI]

El Niño has brought about spells of dry weather across much of Southern Africa in recent months, leading to poor agronomic conditions in the current growing season and potentially severe impacts on harvests.

Learn more: https://t.co/2KDlRt0vvM
@CGIAR @IFPRI_Africa @j_duchoslav

[IFPRI @IFPRI]

Falling harvests have led to disaster declarations in #Malawi, #Zambia, and #Zimbabwe.

#Maize yields have fallen sharply, threatening food security

🆕post on factors that may mitigate the drought’s food security impacts going forward:

https://t.co/D1fYKQshb8
@CGIAR

[IFPRI @IFPRI]

Malawi is facing a severe drought crisis linked to the El Niño climate phenomenon.

Learn more in this new blog by Jan Duchoslav, Joachim De Weerdt, and Rodwell Mzonde: https://t.co/2KDlRt0vvM
@CGIAR @IFPRI_Africa @j_duchoslav

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@mcbrams @thecontinent_ @CisanetMalawi @NASFAM1 @Luanarofficial @WFP_WAfrica @MalawiGovt @ClimateReality @UNFCCC @ClimateWed @AfClimateSummit @AfricaCRP Great article – thanks for putting this in the international spotlight!

One small but important erratum: The 60,000 ha of farmland devastated by cyclone Freddy is equivalent to 2.7% of planted acreage in 2023, not 27%.
In other words, we’re in trouble even without cyclones.

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin @IFPRIMalawi Cash-for-work or simple cash transfers are great as long as food is commercially available. Ensuring sufficient food supply will be key during the next lean season.

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

How can #Malawi ensure #FoodSecurity following this year’s #ElNino-affected harvest?

Don’t wait for all the numbers to come in – start planning now.

More in @IFPRIMalawi’s latest blog: https://t.co/n12D0vauWO

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin @IFPRIMalawi The ag solutions will help in the medium to long term, but not much can be done about this year's harvest anymore. The same goes for family planning.

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin They've been doing that for years, without much to show for it really.

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

“Vendors […] charge more than double the price they offer to buy our crops, […] it is a rip-off for farmers to buy back their produce at skyrocketing prices.” 🧵 1/7

https://t.co/e8mgL3E0Qq

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin I'm not sure. Crop diversification would reduce the risk of a bad harvest, but not necessarily price seasonality. Prices of non-maize commodities face similar seasonal pressures as maize does (minus the political ones perhaps).

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

In the latest @IFPRIMalawi/@MwapataI working paper, @LevisonChiwaula, Joachim De Weerdt, Joseph Goeb, Anderson Gondwe, @AubreyJolex and I analyze the welfare impacts of seasonal maize price fluctuations in Malawi. 🧵1/3

https://t.co/ioG0MlA8wc

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin They would definitely help. Of course delivering good credit service to smallholders is not easy. It's hard to recover fixed costs from small loans.

[Jan Duchoslav @j_duchoslav]

@StopAflatoxin The trouble is that when rains are favorable, no other crop currently produces as many calories per hectare as maize does in Malawi. With farm sizes that can barely feed a family, maize is the rational choice for many smallholders, even if an increasingly risky one.

[WFP Malawi @WFP_Malawi]

🚨Government declaration of state of disaster sheds light on dire El Nino impact, with 40% of the Malawian population facing hunger.

[Tumaini Malenga @TumaCMalenga]

This region is in serious trouble with food insecurity. It will only get worse.