jack 🔣

folk fan // coffee fiend // UVA alum // 🏳️‍🌈

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

My 25 favorite albums of 2023. It was a banner year! Every one of these albums made me feel something special, including despair, joy, fear, love, awe, relaxation, or even just that good energy that makes you want to shake your ass and jump around with your friends.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DecisionDeskHQ “primary her ass” y’all are the reason she’s the only D who stands a chance running in that district

[Alex🇨🇦 @alex2yc]

They tested my DNA and it wasn’t DNA. It was DNC.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@Cal915121Jack @DecisionDeskHQ No but FL Rs tried and failed to gerrymander her out of this seat. Bad sign for them.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@atalarico1970 @RyanGirdusky The #1 pollster on your list just produced a D+14 generic ballot result.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@maps_spams @ChazNuttycombe https://t.co/U4amwirlGB

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

🚨NEW ARTICLE AND INTERACTIVES🚨

Polling has a problem this year.

Total Recall Bias.

Our findings suggest this probably causes a ~2pt error favoring Democrats in your standard generic ballot poll.

To add insult to injury, many pollsters are using pretty conservative weights this year. A large non-response bias amongst Republicans must occur to counteract these observations; otherwise, we are probably on track for a VA/NJ 2025 repeat.

The groups Trump made his largest gains with (younger, non-white, lower income, non-college, politically disaffected) are the most likely to lie to pollsters by saying they didn't vote for him in 2024, because they're reinforcing their upcoming vote choice.

https://t.co/lAiQlmkmBv

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@JRW19971acm @TalkNats Isn't Wood already a year ahead of Crews?

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@TheGasStovee @JakeSherman 🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕

https://t.co/sxvxkf0FZf

[A.J. Perez @byajperez]

BREAKING: D.C. will soon be an option for the next Washington Commanders stadum in a shocking early morning twist in the Senate.

The RFK Stadium bill passed by unanimous consent—meaning all 100 Senators were on board— hours after it was left out of the continuing resolution.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DylanMcdonough @notlarrysabato @BarstoolNate 🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕🖕

[A.J. Perez @byajperez]

BREAKING: D.C. will soon be an option for the next Washington Commanders stadum in a shocking early morning twist in the Senate.

The RFK Stadium bill passed by unanimous consent—meaning all 100 Senators were on board— hours after it was left out of the continuing resolution.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DylanMcdonough @notlarrysabato @BarstoolNate …yeesh, lady!

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DylanMcdonough @notlarrysabato @BarstoolNate One more thing - I lived in Nova most of my adult life. Your superiority is off-putting and unfounded. The people in DC are kinder, more interesting, and more neighborly than Virginia’s soulless suburbia could ever dream of.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DylanMcdonough @notlarrysabato @BarstoolNate Just this year, DC had to ask Congress to give it greater authority to police traffic laws in the city and Republicans, the party of law and order, said NO. It’s a horrible, awful system, and is at the core of many of the city’s problems.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@notlarrysabato @BarstoolNate How are you always under every DC-related post offering the most mind-numbingly stupid commentary?

Congress is not in the business of flipping real estate, and even if it were, we’re not talking about arable land in Utah - it’s a crumbling stadium with no other development plan.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@LfPros @endbringer42 @beaunaturale01 @ArmandDoma Good thing there isn’t a DC crime funding supplement in the bill then! This is a nonexistent problem that you pulled out of thin air - just completely irrelevant to the current argument.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@endbringer42 @beaunaturale01 @ArmandDoma This took me one control+F and two minutes to find. So yes, all of you are lying, and if you have any capacity for self-reflection you should be embarrassed as hell.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@PeasantParty @JakeSherman There isn’t a penny of stadium funding in the bill, it literally just transfers control of a tract of land in DC from the federal government to the city.

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@DougRehnstrom @grantpaulsen The Landover site is a bitch to get to for anybody who doesn’t live in PGC. The RFK site is far more accessible by public transit, would revitalize the surrounding area of the city rather than sitting in a field, and, oh yeah, is actually in the city the team is named after!

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@mtaimemes @TheGasStovee @JakeSherman Swing and a miss. I’m just capable of caring about things even if they don’t directly affect me or epicly pwn my Twitter enemies.

If there’s a PredictIt where I can bet an obscene amount of money on the federal workforce staying the same size lmk - I’ll post a pic of my bet 😉

[jack 🔣 @jackaych49]

@mtaimemes @TheGasStovee @JakeSherman You have no idea how anything works. You have no idea how laws are passed, or how change occurs on a national scale. You’re incapable of independent thought or curiosity, so you outsource the process of forming your opinions to a billionaire who doesn’t know you exist.