@EricLDaugh The same Kudlow that said there was no housing bubble in 2005 and no recession in 2007 - among many other completely wrong predictions (see 1993 to today)
Please tell me you have something more, Lieutenant
@shadowcrewtroll@Lasermazer@conorsen@tencor_7144 RCP literally does zero polling. They aggregate polls. And they apply selective bias in deciding which ones to include in their polls.
They also apply a random factor to predict a winner. And they crushed it in 2022
@MaximEffort433 @briantylercohen He’s talking about the jobs revision from September and on Friday. 818k revised down (publicly) first and 112k on Friday. There was no whistleblower and it is nonsense. But that is the context
@livvyjohn@coctolstan@ConorLynch04 Which is where Lacivita got it wrong (intentionally so surely) as he suggested Harris was abandoning NC. Clearly not the case
@coctolstan@livvyjohn@ConorLynch04 Harris moved ad buy $$ in, just a lower amount. If you read the article, they pulled out of spend in areas where they think they are doing less well. Harris is still competing in NC and going there this week. They still think it is close.
@coctolstan@livvyjohn@ConorLynch04 Here’s the detail. Harris campaign reserved 2.7M in NEW spend 2 days ago and then backed off of about 2M of that. So, the net impact is nearly 1M of additional ad spend. Not pulling out
https://t.co/P2IS5bLzQI
@SullyCNBC Accurate.
Kind of like a supposed expert (and alum) predicting doom for his Alma mater after they lose the first game of the year - on the road, in OT to a really solid team
@tolstoybb Only bad if it impacts a decent amount of Puerto Rican voters in swings states. At most it will be a small number, except for FL. Unless the PR and Haitians go to Harris en masse, likely no impact there