@ex_lefties@Climate_Earth20 Looks quite plausible to be beaten this year.
Also this is average temp for 1 week periods, and that was an especially long heatwave, so it wins on this metric but loses in many others like night-time minimum, daily maximum, etc.
@WeatherProf If this worst case scenario plays out, this is far beyond anything humans have ever recorded before for El Nino.
In a few months we will have a much clearer picture if it will be towards those extremes or not.
4.4 standard deviations from the mean?!
To put into perspective how strong this El Niño has the “potential” to be, I plotted it on the Bell Curve/ distribution of all El Nino, La Niña, & neutral months since 1850 (over 2K). The dynamical model ensemble median forecast peak anomaly is +3.3°C in December 2026. Comparing against all Nino (3.4 region) values yields a value of 4.4 sigma for this event, plotted outside the extreme right tail, next to the current record of +2.8C in 2015. Keep in mind this is not the relative index, so it does not account for global warming, and the fact that higher SST anoms are easier to achieve now due to the higher starting baseline. #elnino 1/ 🧵
Prepare for hotter-than-normal temperatures across nearly all parts of the globe
Expect El Niño-like rainfall patterns to contribute to more severe weather extremes
@WMO
🚨 SUMMARY: The UK's social media ban for children from early 2027:
- "User-to-user" apps where people create, share and interact with content (e.g. TikTok, Instagram, Snapchat, YouTube, X, Facebook) will be banned for under-16s
- WhatsApp, Signal and YouTube Kids will be exempt
- Under-16s will also be banned from livestreaming, messaging strangers on gaming apps like Discord and using disappearing messages
- 16 and 17 year olds will face nightly social media curfews and limits on infinite scrolling with more details next month
- AI "romantic companion" chatbots will be banned for under-18s
- Adults can still access social media through age checks like facial recognition, digital IDs, passports and credit cards
Do you at least accept that kids going on twitter and following bot and weirdos with all kinds of insane agendas, from financial scams to pedophile rings, to indoctrination into fringe political ideologies is not a good thing?
@Dantaniean Yep, it sucks.. it's hacking.. same thing happens with NHS records, or with government gateways, or with porn websites.. with banks..
I'd prefer we force social media websites to get content properly, but unfortunately it's not going to happen is it..
@Holdenthebuild3@allendh Plenty of parental controls? Bro come on.. even trying to delete a facebook account requires about 16 steps.. and again there are what? 20 big social media platforms.. 30 minutes to go configure all of them.. and then what kid makes a new email address and makes a second account.
@Dantaniean Basic internet access? For Twitter and Tiktok? Look maybe you spend all day on social media but there is a whole big internet beyond it that requires no such thing...
Also... You give this info for so many other things.. bank accounts, loans, your work, passports, driving, etc
@Holdenthebuild3@allendh Unrealistic and arguably even worse for the kids privacy and freedom.. you think parents should be monitoring every single thing their kid does online 24/7 unrestricted? Why not just unban all dark web content too since it's just a parents job to make sure they don't see it..
@GregD_0@CapelliPj They still have access to news websites and a bunch of other stuff, just not the weirdo opinions of random adults on twitter trying to brainwash them.