US stocks tend to rally following Midterm elections:
The S&P 500 has returned +17.2% on average in the year following Midterm elections since 1950, the strongest return of any year in the Presidential cycle.
The index has finished higher in 17 of the 19 post-Midterm years during this period.
This is also nearly quadruple the +4.6% average return recorded during midterm years, when the index finished higher in 11 of 19 years.
By comparison, the S&P 500 has returned +8.1% on average in Year 4 of the Presidential cycle, or during Presidential election years, ending higher in 16 of 19 years.
In Q4 of Midterm years, the S&P 500 has delivered an average return of +6.6% since 1950, the strongest quarterly return of the Presidential cycle.
History suggests US equities will extend their rally after Midterm elections.
Brutal day following a gut-wrenching couple months for uranium equities. Let's check some historical data.
The table below outlines historical forward performance across these episodes when the sector reached equivalent oversold extremes:
This is the CRAZIEST Market Statistic of all time
Dont skip this. It’s the most IMPORTANT thing you’ll Read.
All have a 100% WIN RATE
First: FED HIKING CYCLES.
Since 1983, the S&P 500 $SPY has risen during every completed multi-meeting hiking cycle.
7/7.
Average gain: ~10%.
Then MIDTERMS.
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every midterm.
19/19.
Average gain: ~15%.
And this one might be even crazier:
Since 1942, EVERY November-through-June period following a midterm has been positive.
21/21.
Average gain: +16.6%.
Then add one more:
12 months after the final Fed hike?
7/8 positive.
Average gain: ~20%.
The only miss: May 2000 during the dot-com collapse.
So 2026 has:
7/7 during Fed hiking cycles.
19/19 after midterms.
21/21 from November through June after midterms.
Three completely different historical setups.
Three near-perfect streaks.
All lining up in the same year.
History guarantees nothing.
But this is VERY hard to ignore.
Ukraine–Russia deal + Russia brokering Iran is now the base case.
Zelenskyy’s tone has shifted hard toward a freeze.
Oslo + Witkoff–Putin talks are pushing a practical settlement, not maximalist positions.
What an agreement most likely looks like:
• Immediate ceasefire along the current line of contact
• Ukraine gets Article 5-style security guarantees from the US + Europe (not NATO membership)
• Russia keeps de facto control of what it holds (Crimea + most of the occupied east/south)
• Phased sanctions relief + reconstruction money
• No permanent Western troops in Ukraine; monitoring mechanisms instead
On Iran: Putin is offering to mediate. Expect a Russian-brokered package — limits/verification on enriched uranium, de-escalation of strikes, Hormuz reopening, and Russia (with China in the background) as a guarantor.
This is the Trump-style deal: freeze the war, lock in gains, open economic tracks, and use Russia as the intermediary that can talk to both sides.
Not justice. Not maximalism. Just the most likely off-ramp given the current pressure and incentives.
Do you see a freeze + guarantees deal holding, or does it collapse within 12–18 months?
As Treasury Sec Bessent talks following the Treasury’s debt buyback announcement. Here’s a must watch rare interview of his investment philosophy. If you’re bearish, I get why you’d be but please know that Scott & Trump arent ideological they will never allow it to fail. The printer is on…you don’t want to be on the wrong side of the printer. Just a matter of time before the Fed follow suit, $8.8T of MMF is ready to be injected into the “risky” assets. Limit up
@ysl_mask@kevin__mak@grok Phase 1 proved 100% success in reaching neuroplasticity for all patients. $ENP have also had phase 2 early data confirm 100% clinical outcomes on BED including some full remission after four weeks. Herwig Jansen from J&J is the chair and shareholder
@Biohazard3737 $ENP - 2 hr IV infused psilocin valued at sub $50M USD cap looks interesting based on this $ATAI deal
ex J&J merger and acquisition Herwig Jansen as its Chair?
@bryan_johnson@bryan_johnson have you heard of @Entropy_Neuro This company has the global IP for IV infused Psilocin. 2 hour treatment and they seem to be able to control the dosing level to keep you in neuroplasticity zone throughout the session. You should try it on your third go
🚨 TRADE UPDATE 🚨
5+ hours fresh charts, fresh flows, fresh CFTC, fresh everything.
Zero bias. Blank slate.
Result: ONLY TWO 85%+ conviction monsters left in the entire FX/metals universe.
1. AUDUSD LONG— literally the highest conviction trade on planet Earth right now
• Price 0.6547 weekend
• Already sized 3× from 0.6521
• Stop 0.6498
• Targets 0.6707–0.6760
• Current RR = 1:9.4
RBA vs Fed divergence widest since 2008 + China stimulus + short squeeze + month-end USD selling = rocket fuel 🔥
2. GOLD LONG — stalking hard, not in yet
• Weekend 4210
• Buy zone 4145–4160 or break 4240
• Stop 4078
• Targets 4380 → 4520 → 4680–4800
• RR = 1:10+
Real yields collapsing, Central Banks buying, DXY dying, geopolitics = structural bull
Everything else?
EURUSD = trapped
GBPUSD = fakeout risk
USDJPY = BoJ trap
USDCAD = oil crash
Crypto = extended
→ All B-grade or lower. Cash gang.
I am NOT forcing trades just to be in the casino.
Only the absolute cream gets size.
Who’s banking with me this week?
Drop 🔥 if you’re in either long AUD, long gold, or both.
Let’s fucking go. 💰🚀
#AUDUSD #XAUUSD #Forex #Gold #Trading
@OnSpeculator Even though the shorts in $LOT were able to cover a chunk of their position they are still going to be wanting to close the balance of this out quickly. If $SPUT keeps the premium uranium flywheel in motion this could get nasty quickly for them 🙏🏼 🔥