@VincentGeloso I've had good luck asking students to write about how their own family's history reflects economic history. (An idea I got TAing for @delong.) AI could make up a family history, but most students won't do that. And in my experience, students write great essays.
A reminder to all newly minted #econhistory PhDs that the deadline to submit for the @EconHistAssoc Gerschenkron and Nevins dissertation prizes is May 31 (https://t.co/hUNDNNlx0k). The committee looks forward to reading the great work of our newest colleagues.
In 1929, the US had twice the cars per capita of Canada and 10 times more than Europe. One big reason is the Model T. Its low price made the car a mass market good, from @ShariJEli, @jhausma1, and Paul Rhode https://t.co/5SuWr2aFAg
Very pleased to see that my point-counterpoint debate on inflation with @delong is now published by @JPAM_DC. https://t.co/3GUTz6A9gy, https://t.co/xVI6u14V46, https://t.co/C2du52JOE0
tl;dr: I am more pessimistic about inflation than markets or the Fed. In the short-run, I expect high aggregate demand will keep inflation high. In the medium-run, I expect it will be more politically difficult to bring inflation back to 2-3 percent than markets expect.
@issiromem Airlines effectively do charge for overhead bins. It's part of how they get people to pay for first class, get airline credit cards that come with early boarding, and fly the airline more to get elite status.
@JLRosenbloom@CatieHausman As you no doubt know, the IRA gives taxes incentives for heat pump water heaters. Useful calculator here: https://t.co/tEKkWP00ED. Of course, given that supply may be quite inelastic right now, unclear how much these incentives will lower the cost to consumers.
A natural but unfortunate political-economy feedback loop: inflation leads to demand for tax cuts or transfers (or the equivalent, e.g. student loan debt relief) which leads to more inflation . . .
I also said "This is not a good idea if you care about inflation, because the way inflation falls is for people to spend less, and so sending them money does exactly the opposite."
A dozen states are providing inflation relief checks to residents.
Associate Professor Josh Hausman (@jhausma1) told @Marketplace they are designed to help people deal with rising prices, not stimulate the economy.
Read โก๏ธ https://t.co/45iYxXQPqI
Yes. A general worry: inflation naturally leads to demands for policies (like the gas tax holiday) that increase inflation. Prices rise -> political pressure to send people checks (or equivalently, cut taxes). But that increases inflation. Am I wrong to worry about this?
P.P.P.S. Needless to say, a gas tax holiday would also add to inflation. Probably not that much because the majority of it would be windfall profits for the oil industry and that is not particularly stimulative. But still goes in the wrong direction.
I'm for spending on infrastructure at any time. But this is a good reminder of the wisdom of counter-cyclical infrastructure spending. Dollars spent on infrastructure during a boom (now) buy less and don't increase employment. It's the opposite in a recession.
Construction projects across the U.S. are running short on labor just as $1 trillion in federal infrastructure money starts to kick in https://t.co/IzeueuskHe
@garyleff@DKThomp Thanks. Perhaps it matters that airlines have monopoly power (e.g. my home airport is DTW, not a lot of non-DL nonstops available). So high fares may not be competed away. Could makes it possible (profit maximizing?) for airlines to stay smaller and provide worse service.