@ruth_deyermond This is also contingent. Spend and be serious and be taken seriously
Away from trump admin the frustration with Europe over its lack of spending and commitment to security has spanned 3-4 administrations
None. Complete non issue for the banks - the loans they make it these funds are 0-25% LTV. The media is trying to find a problem there were there isn’t one. The risk is generally pretty broadly distributed, however IF there are eventual defaults and losses because of AI or a broader macro cycle there will be losses distributed across the LP base that are concentrated in the cause of the defaults. If that ends up being the current concern of AI then the LPs of those funds that have poor portfolio construction and risk mgmt and in some cases 50%+ exposure to AI threatened businesses over the long term will suffer. It’s very hard to know what the eventual impact of AI is so hard to say at this point but diversification wins when you are buying carry assets at 98-99 that can only trade to 100!
@DrJoGrady Think the q is about
1) the boundaries to this argument, esp at elite universities where a* is taken for granted
2) has to recognise the only data on contextual admissions in the Uk shows they underperform
then you add the private channel willing to do sub, 2L, PIK and you take away the main engine that drives future defaults and trash creation in high yield - the stretched CCC junior LBO paper of 2007 is much rarer today