@Dorialexander At this point it the models just need to be more strategically intent-aligned to be superior in finace they rest they get. is it like super narrow detailed transaction traces?
@TheZvi@umnovd So does this leave us with people maybe hedging themselves elsewhere in correlated bets or actually a market that provides us with some reliable pointer? Also given the volatility alone of these contracts, I‘d not take them too serious(?)
@umnovd@TheZvi What‘s your read? Do you know more about prediction markets and how these move among low liquidity? I.e. if I put 5k in a yes until 31 Jund rn, how would that move the market?
@blueblimpms Hey man, essentially checking this real-time too. Have you seen what the implications of such intervenations are on the financial markets/ ai trade anywhere? Because this could become a forcing factor if it‘s bearish (as GDP-growth tied closely to the compute build-outs).
@DanielCHTan97 i noticed the same thing especiall yesterday, it‘s a blend of fable / opus - much more opinionated & just working through tasks. I recently adjusted my claude.md & deactivated some hooks which might explain some uplift, but not so much…
@KingBootoshi cool, me too - wanna chat from solo to solo? I kinda leverage these systems like you do (maybe a bit less looped ;) ), but in another domain
@KingBootoshi okay good, if you mind me asking, are you working for yourself or are you employed? and how do you measure the (latent) value of what you‘re building?
@infohazard_lol i agree - for me opus 4-7 was for maybe a few days only the best model re orchestration and intent-aligning - it could spit out 400-1000 lines in one write which made it the pefect context-setting system for sub-systems or agents. now it does 50lines for same set-up. useless.
@yoheinakajima i chunk my cc/codex sessions and use them vis an agentic retrieval harness as decision traces - any kind of framework will blow as soon as the next model comes out trust me or writing to md/html files will just bloat + bias the model towards a weird attractor basin it‘s state.
@doodlestein@VictorTaelin plus i build a dispatch tool where it can outsource taks to gpt 5.4 xhigh fast via the sdk for obvious codex work (properties of <good code> are clear)
@doodlestein@VictorTaelin i build a script with hooks to enforce a) exploration-depth deterministally (hook will fire and tell system it needs to do X more uses of the read / any own retrieval tool i built) and b) enforce FULL file reads not just lines=50 or head -50 or so) - works like magic