Matthew Waymack

Retweets are retweets.

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@jmartNYT

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@NateSilver538 Nate, I’ve been pushing the refresh button on the model consistently since the debate ended but it isn’t changing. Can you fix?

[Gavin Newsom @GavinNewsom]

Listen to Larry David:

“You’re hurting old people like me. Well, not me...I’ll never see you.”

#StayHomeSaveLives

[(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten]

On the one hand, who'd have thought 5 years ago that the most likely 2020 prez matchup was Sanders v. Trump. On the other hand, as a friend points out, it would be the incumbent president vs the runner-up from 4 years ago.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Lesson from 2008 and 2016: the ebb/flow of presidential primaries is less about “momentum” and more about demographic patterns of support - even though the latter can often give the illusion of the former.

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@ForecasterEnten

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@davidlsims @benhosley Vomiting into a cup.

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@davidlsims Pine is more than capable of handling a slower paced performance as Kirk.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Beginning to think the CW that "Joe Biden would be such a great general election candidate for Dems if only he could make it past the primaries" might actually have it a bit backwards.

[Matthew Waymack @jmwaymack]

@SYFYWIRE The Mandalorian was great.

[Maggie Haberman @maggieNYT]

Trump sent word to Sessions over a week ago that he could face pain if he runs. So Republicans were mostly surprised he went ahead with it. So far, Trump has stayed quiet. https://t.co/hrwBgjSvcW via @NYTimes

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

Like @daveweigel said, if donor elites are unhappy with the Top 4, the smart thing for them to do would have been to prop up one of the candidates who are currently in the field (i.e. Booker, Harris, Klob) but not getting traction, all of whom are more plausible than Bloomberg.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Republicans lost control of the VA Senate, but it could've been a lot worse: they managed to win all four of the closest races, by margins ranging from 0.9% to 4.4%.

That's the difference between 21D-19R and 25D-15R. #VALEG

[Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs]

Gov. Matt Bevin (R) claims voter fraud cost him the election in #KYGov. This argument wouldn't be convincing in the first place because voter fraud is incredibly rare, but it's even less so when EVERY OTHER GOP statewide nominee won. https://t.co/YbjgUaOdmR

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Projection: Democrats have picked up control of the VA Senate. #VALEG

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

I've seen enough. Projection: Andy Beshear (D) has defeated Gov. Matt Bevin (R) in #KYGOV.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

NC courts throwing out congressional map for 2020 is a much bigger House game-changer than any retirement/resignation so far. A new map could net Dems an additional 2-3 seats (currently 10-3 R). https://t.co/6ggdYTMRys

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

A few takeaways:

1) This is the fastest Dem-trending group in the electorate & it's why CO/VA have exited stage left.
2) Another reason why Dems have so much upside in TX (though still likelier on pace for '24 than '20).
3) But *zero* true EC tipping-point states on this list.

[Dave Wasserman @Redistrict]

Top 15 states for college degree-holders as % of all eligible white voters (excluding DC, 88%):

1. MA 45%
2. CO 45%
3. HI 44%
4. CA 43%
5. NJ 43%
6. MD 43%
7. CT 43%
8. NY 42%
9. VA 40%
10. NM 38%
11. IL 37%
12. TX 37%
13. MN 36%
14. WA 35%
15. VT 35%

Hmm...which stands out?

[Jeffrey Cook @JeffreyCook]

NEW: Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s campaign just announced that she has now met the 130,000 donor threshold to complete her qualification for the fall debate on @ABC

That makes 8 total qualified so far:
- Biden
- Booker
- Buttigieg
- Harris
- @amyklobuchar
- O’Rourke
- Sanders
- Warren