A.Political.Nerd.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@JoeNC05 Fingers crossed 🤞

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@MikeNellis Some people will see that, and tell you with a straight face Husted will win by 14% because 1500 fewer VBM were requested in Springfield. Yes, that's how bad it is.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@BeshearStan @davidslosttt Same, gonna be great.

We might even get a chance when IPEV opens in some states and his fake numbers might have to face reality.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@TonerousHyus Where on earth did you pull these numbers from😂

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@comin4castro 1 and 2, in the sense that it created a short runway with a new nominee (similar to Harris 2024)

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@davidslosttt Or elsewhere, at closer inspection

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@davidslosttt Those are not even the right county shapes in Southern Texas 😭

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@_ZacharyMiller It'd be the same phenomenon as this was

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@edyang73 @drunkelections @realPrestonHill Internal polls are, NYT not really. Random sample errors can never really be fixed though. Impossible to say which polls are wrong now though. Kudis to NYT for posting their outlier here though, way better than if they herded.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@kotaibutsuri @PunishedRWR @stopthesupermaj @Budgetlover World's worst vegan

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@edyang73 @drunkelections @realPrestonHill Ehh, I'm indifferent to those probabilities. But last poll with Abbott up 8 was in june.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@kotaibutsuri @PunishedRWR @stopthesupermaj @Budgetlover Ah yes, vegan

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@edyang73 @drunkelections @realPrestonHill I mean... he might! But why stop at 8 if we're just making up numbers without any data...

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@Peachorino I'd assume the recall vote in the exit polls will be around Trump +10, but as for the other stats idk. Exit polls had non-voters at 11% in 2018 and 5% in 2022. But 7% isn't egregious compared to 5%.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@MarzanatiNicola @IAPolls2022 The final electorate won't be Trump +13 though, idk if it will be only +7, but prob single digits at least

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@Adam125890 Just like the midterm comvention helped? Or wait...

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@erika_1492 @pl_european I think you fail to see my point.

Your ideas don't work.

It took under 15 yrs for your house of cards to fall apart. Under which time ur only accomplishment was the murder of millions of people based on a lie.

Cute to watch you try. But if necessary: remember Nuremberg 1945.

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@RobertCahaly @trafalgar_group @Hamilton4Kansas @RogerMarshallMD So much Republican denial in the comments!

[A.Political.Nerd. @jomch005]

@PpollingNumbers