Daniel Akech Thiong

Senior Analyst, S. Sudan @Crisisgroup | Author: The Politics of Fear in South Sudan (Zed, 2021) & Climate Shocks & Pastoralist Migration (Zed, 2025) | PhD, Math

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

The recent opposition offensives in South Sudan signal the onset of a new war. In my latest analysis for @CrisisGroup, I explain how opposition gains and government fragility are increasing the risk of state disintegration. https://t.co/9CzlAvueNs via @crisisgroup

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

The physical copies have arrived in Nairobi. Climate Shocks and Pastoralist Migration in South Sudan is officially out.

Let's discuss the ecological drivers of conflict tomorrow at 2:00 PM EAT.

Join the conversation here: https://t.co/d2A1pTopN2

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

@PhD_Genie Unlike lab-based sciences where authorship can sometimes reflect lab membership or hierarchy, theoretical fields strictly mandate significant intellectual contributions for inclusion. In disciplines like mathematics, the 'first author' concept is often moot anyway.

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

NEW STATEMENT | A Hormuz Initiative to Protect Global Food Security

The Middle East conflict threatens global food security. @CrisisGroup and prominent individuals call for an initiative to ease the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz.

https://t.co/NirKlHbsvi

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

ONLINE EVENT | The Iran War One Month in: Any Way out?

30 March | 6pm Brussels | 5pm London

w/ @AliVaez, @HamidRezaAz, @citrinowicz, @dassakaye and @YasFarouk.

Registration ⬇️

https://t.co/UERD9ObTRK

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

To clarify, @paulkasii: the recommendation isn't for the EU to usurp local security, but to adjust its leverage. When state-building funds fuel conflict, the EU must support local peace architectures and sanction spoilers directly, instead of funding a broken centre.

[Ustaz Kachuol Mabil @paulkasii]

@jongethon interesting recommendations from ICG! How can EU control local violent conflicts yet security provision is a sovereign responsibility?

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

South Sudan is tragically sliding back into civil war. With 10 million people in need of aid and the region on edge, the international community must take decisive action now. Read Crisis Group’s latest analysis: https://t.co/vJrLUkBtqc via @crisisgroup

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

NEW SPECIAL COVERAGE | @EroComfort’s 2026 Top Picks on Gender and Conflict

For International Women’s Day, @CrisisGroup’s President and CEO shares a list of her top ten publications exploring how conflict and gender intersect.

https://t.co/StyhZ5eUgI

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

NEW BRIEFING | Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray: A Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa

The risk of hostilities remains high after the last major war in the area. African states and outside powers should urgently open back channels to defuse tensions.

https://t.co/VpMoIwHHT5

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

🔴 LIVE NOW | Sudan, South Sudan and Somalia: Key Peace and Security Priorities for Africa in 2026

w/ @jongethon, @wmshewit, @OmarSMahmood, and
@Lieslvaudran and Pauline Bax.

https://t.co/8a599SWX2f

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

NEW BRIEFING | Seven Peace and Security Priorities for Africa in 2026

The continent is beset by trouble at home while grasping for options in dealing with today’s jumbled global order. The challenges to peace and security are many.

https://t.co/BdolQr0ps1

[Crisis Group @CrisisGroup]

🌍 Africa is facing a wide array of challenges, with wars old and new raging across the continent.

In this special briefing, we highlight seven key peace and security priorities in 2026: https://t.co/BdolQr0ps1

Scroll down for threads from our experts on each entry.

[Alan Boswell @alanboswell]

Sometimes, a map says it all. This year, more than half of @CrisisGroup's annual list of priority hotspots in Africa are in the Horn.

https://t.co/eSMi9J98sJ

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

9/n (n = 9) For more information and the full set of recommendations, read our briefing below.

https://t.co/TKEccZntcJ

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

1/n South Sudan has returned to open conflict.

Clashes between the army and an armed rebellion have intensified.

Short thread on why it’s on @CrisisGroup’s key peace and security priorities for Africa in 2026.

https://t.co/TKEccZntcJ

[Daniel Akech Thiong @jongethon]

8/n First, they should press Kiir to halt the political prosecution of Machar.

Second, they should initiate discreet diplomacy to prevent the intra-elite power struggle that looks sure to follow Kiir’s rule, whenever it ends.