Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦

wandering physicist

[Claude @claudeai]

Introducing Claude Sonnet 4.5—the best coding model in the world.

It's the strongest model for building complex agents. It's the best model at using computers. And it shows substantial gains on tests of reasoning and math.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@RosendorfStefan @n_roettgen he's criticizing the content of the explanation, and not wether or not it was given. different things.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@Bundeskanzler Es ist vollkommen unseriös der Bevölkerung Versprechen zu geben, die nur gehalten werden können solange Putin artig mitspielt.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@deakin_philip @ukraine_map Same as all the other U-turns, presumably.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@ChrisO_wiki flamethrowers are in use?!

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@PhillipsPOBrien Part of the reason is that the Greens are wary, and with considerable degree of both guilt and apprehension, regarding Germany's deep economic symbioses with authoritarian states. They now have a particularly acute sense of responsibility.

(c.f.:
https://t.co/fAp5om4IaU)

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@briangongol @PhillipsPOBrien @c_lindner's FDP took a populist-libertarian tack that bought them votes short-term (young men), but set them adrift ideologically and ethically.

Telling example via former UA Amb. @MelnykAndrij:

https://t.co/jHrJ6xoAQx

https://t.co/RjwLQTahUr

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

Rest in Peace.

https://t.co/iA2QOyzwtr

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@LynAldenContact Measurement problems everywhere here.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@SpencerGuard I highly, highly recommend the exhibit here:
https://t.co/XMQa67tPY8

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@RiddleMeThis140 @randomdogname @PhillipsPOBrien @TheStudyofWar It’s Clausewitz vocabulary https://t.co/Izg1F8bhav

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@adam_tooze Actually, tweeting is.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@krapfino @MarkHertling @sumlenny Just noticed 🇩🇪 in your profile, so you already know. 😅

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@krapfino @MarkHertling @sumlenny His source here, @bild, is a tabloid

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@MarkHertling @sumlenny FYI for those not familiar with the German media landscape:

The @bild is in general a bad source of journalism. Roughly equivalent to the @DailyMail.

Some find @bild useful for tracking German popular/populist interest, but actual content warrants a big grain of salt.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@BenjaminRaderm1 @nicolange_ Zu diesen Fragen sind die substack Artikel von @PhillipsPOBrien sehr überzeugend — er beschäftigt sich da eingehend mit Fragen der Ukrainischen Strategie in Bakhmut. (Auch als Laie klingt es für mich nicht nach Starrsinn.)

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@CourageT5 @brucewaynesaunt @BenjaminRaderm1 @nicolange_ Wo kann man da über Konflikte zwischen President und Militär lesen? Ist mir nicht untergekommen.

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@yaffaesque not an expert, but in general you can find industrial divers that routinely go to that sort of depth and deeper (think oil rigs), and there's plenty of vessels passing by the area day and night. i'm sure it'd be super involved, but why would it have to be a nation state?

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@cvaria @adam_tooze He did not explain or predict why russia would start a doomed invasion that is so starkly against its own self-interests, when others, like Fiona Hill or @TimothyDSnyder, were able to do that. Such are the limits of “Mearsheimerism.”

[Balthasar Mueller 🇺🇦 @jpbmueller]

@cvaria @adam_tooze Mearsheimer was wrong about many things this war has pivoted on. His narratives of great power politics are too mechanistic to capture the human element: he can’t account for putin’s irrationality and russian incompetence, nor for Ukrainian courage and western popular backing.