@chuckbasspoker@Ragnarok_1er Decision desk näyttää nyt 69,5M ääntä Trumpille, ja laskin NYT:n osavaltiokeskiarvojen ja laskematta olevien äänien perusteella 9,6M lisää Trumpille hieman ylöspäin pyöristellen.
@robpizzola What's the math behind this? Based on this article: https://t.co/dcqHWHxra6 it's still lands on exactly three ~15% of times. I guess we need to assume that favorite wins more often so 8% of time. So implied probability would rise from 48,7% to 56,7= -130 level
@mikkolaakso Tässä on tullut lueskeltua, mitä törkyä eri vp vaihtoehdoista on kilpakumppanit saanut kaivettua esille. Mark Kellyn nimen sekoittuminen kiinalaisten vakoilupalloihin on aika paha, mutta Shapiro ja tapaus Ellen Greenbergissa potentiaalia olla vielä kovempi katastrofi.
@BreakAlways There is a bit of uncertainty baked in Vingegaards odds, because you will lose your bets if he decides to not start. Pogi will remain favourite but it will be closer if Jonas starts.
@MattWi77iams Do you maybe have spreadsheet to share for your 2023 MLB results? My friend asked if I know good MLB capper, so I can suggest him to subscribe too. Keep up the great work!