KAPRI

Gorkhali🇳🇵🇳🇵

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

TIL sarka is “shark” in Nepali

[The Juggernaut @thejuggernaut]

Meet Sarka, which means “shark” in Nepali 🏔️🐆

Born May 31, the snow leopard made her Bronx Zoo debut after passing checkups and getting vaccinated. She joins the zoo’s seven other snow leopards, which are native to the Himalayas and Tibet.

The Wildlife Conservation Society, which manages the zoo, is part of a breeding program to protect the species, designated as “vulnerable.” Only 5,000 to 7,000 snow leopards remain in the wild due to habitat degradation, declining prey, and poaching.

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

@ashuananda give credit to who created the plot. I have seen this plot in Linkedin before.

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

Such a naive article @ekantipur_com. High demand for apartments in the city incentivizes builders to build more, increasing supply and lowering equilibrium rental prices. The problem with Nepal is that people want to regulate something as soon as it seems a little lucrative.

[Anup Kaphle 🐐 @AnupKaphle]

अपार्टमेन्ट तथा घर डलरमा भाडामा लगाउने प्रतिस्पर्धाले नेपालीहरूलाई भाडा पाउन कठिन बन्दै गएको छ । त्यस्ता अनौपचारिक कारोबारमा नियमनकारी निकायको ध्यान भने पुगेको देखिँदैन ।

Across Nepal’s top cities, apartments and homes are increasingly listed in US dollars, edging out Nepali renters and operating in a legal gray zone that no regulator has ever tested.

@aaryaselene set out to find what’s going on and if anyone who should care actually cares —

https://t.co/EDR9ABvNxb

[Arpit Gupta @arpitrage]

This is one of the topics we discuss in my AI in Finance class — how will AI disrupt banking?

Right now depositors are "sleepy" because people are inertial. That may change if they delegate decisions to faster agents.

https://t.co/DN8XDn2Zmd

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

Someone give a medal to @abishekdas73

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

@kattitweetss bro should control his thoughts

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

@homecomingagain What does managerial class mean?

[Footy Humour @FootyHumour]

I told my girl I'd rather spend the weekend with her than watch football (there's an international break)

[גוֹי @vrahymn]

Nepali grooms with Khukuri in a traditional Daura Surwal

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

Guys need to work on the attire. FM ko suit ko fitting k ho?

[Nepal Mission to the UN @NepalUNNY]

Hon. Foreign Minister Mr. Shisir Khanal @shisir, accompanied by members of the Nepali delegation, arrived in New York this morning to attend the #HighLevelWeek of the 81st Session of the UN General Assembly #UNGA81#.

H.E. Mr. Lok Bahadur Thapa @LokThapa2071, Permanent Representative of Nepal to the UN, Mr. Dadhiram Bhandari, Consul General of Nepal in New York, and other Mission officials welcomed the Foreign Minister at JFK International Airport.

The Foreign Minister is scheduled to hold bilateral meetings later this afternoon.

[jyo🍎 @jyotilovebot]

pokhrelis think they’re so much better than the rest of us bc they get to see this view on a normal day. well you are. you win

[Anup Kaphle 🐐 @AnupKaphle]

Whenever you see another headline about how Nepal Airlines is in trouble, I invite you to (re)read this excellent profile from 2019 of the national flag carrier — by @sangamprasai.

https://t.co/qI5d9wrB5G

[Football Xtra @FootballXtraa__]

Where do Brighton get these coaches from lmao

[Arthur Spirling @arthur_spirling]

@p_ganong Depends what one means by “clear” for observational data, but the classic I use is this one. That is, a way to reduce lung cancer is getting people to stop smoking (probably!)

[banteg @banteg]

>be me
>discover effective altruism
>apparently normal charity is inefficient
>why donate to random sad thing when spreadsheet can tell you optimal sad thing
>fair enough
>buy mosquito nets
>save lives
>numbers look good
>feel powerful

>couple years later
>someone asks an innocent question
>why only count people alive today
>huh
>future people matter too
>obviously
>my grandchildren shouldn't matter less just because they haven't spawned yet
>reasonable.jpg

>keep following logic
>what about their grandchildren
>also yes
>what about people in 500 years
>sure
>5000 years
>why not
>500 million years
>starting to get weird but morality is morality

>open calculator
>humanity could survive for an astronomically long time
>could colonize galaxy
>could have trillions upon trillions of descendants
>maybe digital people too
>maybe simulated civilizations
>maybe dyson spheres full of happy uploaded minds
>calculator starts smoking

>realize currently living humans are rounding error
>8 billion people suddenly looking extremely beta
>future contains potentially 10^something people
>can't even fit beneficiaries in google sheets

>new moral priority unlocked
>protect the long-term future

>stop thinking in units of "people helped"
>start thinking in "fraction of cosmic endowment preserved"

>malaria?
>terrible
>but only kills existing humans
>AI extinction could delete the entire light cone
>nuclear war could permanently derail civilization
>bad institutions could lock in terrible values for ten million years
>someone invents wrong constitution in 2140
>quadrillions suffer
>better fund governance workshop now

>friend says maybe we should improve hospitals
>explain opportunity cost
>friend says hospitals are full of actual sick people
>explain scope sensitivity
>friend stops inviting me to dinner

>need to decide what to fund
>easy
>expected value

>suppose project has one in a million chance of preventing extinction
>sounds tiny
>but extinction destroys 10^50 future lives
>multiply
>mother of god

>$10 million project has expected value of several galaxies
>charity evaluation complete

>someone asks where the one-in-a-million number came from
>expert judgement
>which expert
>us
>how calibrated
>extremely thoughtfully

>reduce estimate to one in ten million to be conservative
>still beats curing cancer by 38 orders of magnitude
>epistemic robustness achieved

>someone says maybe project doesn't work
>assign 20% chance
>still astronomical

>maybe project makes problem worse
>assign 5% chance
>still astronomical

>why 5
>because 30 felt pessimistic

>publish 46-page report
>contains seventeen sensitivity analyses
>every sensitivity analysis begins after assuming intervention has positive sign

>critic says you're multiplying enormous hypothetical stakes by extremely uncertain probabilities
>yes
>that's literally why it's important

>critic says the uncertainty might be structural rather than numerical
>make probability smaller
>critic says no, I mean maybe your model is wrong
>make probability smaller again
>critic begins rubbing temples

>discover AI safety
>perfect longtermist cause
>AI might kill everyone
>or create utopia
>or seize galaxy
>or tile universe with paperclips
>or create billions of conscious software minds
>finally a problem with numbers big enough for me

>start AI safety nonprofit
>mission: prevent dangerous AI
>hire smartest people available
>smartest people immediately start building better AI to understand dangerous AI
>interesting

>we must understand capabilities to understand safety
>we must scale models to study alignment
>we must race ahead so less responsible actors don't get there first
>we must deploy systems to learn how deployment can go wrong
>we must build the thing quickly because building the thing quickly is dangerous

>outsider asks why the people most worried about AI apocalypse all work at AI companies
>complicated field

>company releases stronger model
>very concerned
>company begins training even stronger model
>extremely concerned
>company raises $14 billion
>concern reaches unprecedented levels

>need to influence government
>future is at stake
>normal democratic process too slow
>politicians don't understand exponential curves
>public doesn't understand x-risk
>experts must guide them
>who counts as expert
>people who understand x-risk
>who understands x-risk
>our friends

>someone objects that this seems politically convenient
>explain we're representing future generations
>future generations unavailable for comment

>develop concept of value lock-in
>terrifying possibility that one ideology controls civilization forever
>therefore extremely important that civilization adopts correct values before lock-in
>whose values
>let's circle back

>begin with impartial morality
>end with small group of people deciding what quadrillions of hypothetical beings would want
>beautiful arc

>meanwhile actual humans keep doing annoying things
>voting wrong
>having parochial attachments
>loving family more than strangers
>caring about local community
>getting upset when told their suffering is cosmically negligible
>evolutionary biases everywhere

>explain that moral intuition cannot be trusted
>except intuition that future digital people count
>and intuition that extinction is uniquely bad
>and intuition that our probability estimates are sane
>and intuition that our institutional choices improve the future
>those intuitions survived peer review

>someone donates $5k to local homeless shelter
>inefficient
>could have funded 0.0000000000003% of an AI governance researcher
>think of all the simulated people you just killed

>okay maybe don't phrase it that way publicly

>PR team says "future generations deserve a voice"
>much better

>journalist asks what longtermism means
>say "future people matter"
>everyone agrees
>great
>journalist asks what follows from that
>well technically we should redirect enormous resources toward low-probability interventions affecting astronomical futures
>journalist raises eyebrow
>return to "future people matter"

>motte has entered the chat

>critic: of course future people matter
>me: glad we agree
>critic: I don't agree that your institute knows how to help them
>me: why do you hate our grandchildren

>eventually notice uncomfortable implication
>if future value dominates everything
>then helping people today mostly matters through effects on future
>education matters because future institutions
>health matters because future productivity
>democracy matters because future trajectory
>human beings slowly become instrumental variables in their own moral philosophy

>see starving child
>feel compassion
>check spreadsheet
>child's direct welfare contribution negligible
>but perhaps childhood nutrition improves national institutional quality
>compassion restored

>tell myself this is impartial altruism

>one day assistant asks obvious question
>"how do you know your intervention actually improves the far future?"

>silence

>open spreadsheet
>increase column width
>add confidence interval

>assistant asks again
>"no, I mean how do you know the sign is positive?"

>stare into cosmic light cone

>10^50 people staring back

>none of them exist
>none of them can tell me
>none of them can falsify my assumptions

>realize I have invented the perfect constituency

>infinitely important
>completely silent
>and always represented by me

[KAPRI @kaprist0]

@123123three be patient with GRE. practice with good materials. download bunch of books and upload to chatgpt and do targeted practice of questions you get wrong. make error logs. gregmat is good for foundation but not for practicing.

[Nepali ( Gorkhali ) 𝕏🇳🇵🇵🇸 @EnigmaNepali]

Some of the pictures I took August 23
#Dhorpatan #Nepal

[ANI @ANI]

#WATCH | Nepal: Women celebrate Teej at Pashupatinath Temple in Kathmandu.

[Erling Haaland @Erling]

Nice