@ojblanchard1 much of the variance in stock prices is explained by discount rate (risk premium) variation, not by actual cash-flow shocks as per Campbell & Shiller, Cochrane - this factor is usually not discussed
@clemnt it is when the synergy is high as it is strategically important and the buyer is willing to share some of the value of the synergy / maybe possible when it is strategically important for someone else too
@ByrneHobart liq pref is usually 1.0x non-participating (no built-in return) so it is a zero-coupon bond w/ zero yield, so does not really make sense as a separate asset
@neilswmurray “seed is no longer local” - i hope this is / or going to be the case in Europe - do you have any actual ‘hard’ data on this (european cross-boarder deals in seed)? if i find any i’d be sharing it w/ you
@lpolovets also an interesting and related q, how to identify a company w/ moats before this fact gets priced in (co's valuation) - moat compounds over time, but should be reflected in the price from day one (in case there is some consensus over it) - 'unpriced moats' is smthg to look for
@louicop securing (government / municipality) licences to operate in certain (urban) area - see scooter / OEMs' car sharing operations that depend on these- i wonder unique this skill is and how sustainable, but probably not compounding