KPC

Independent thinker | Entrepreneur | Only about positive vibes and cool trade ideas here. NFA. Index trader.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

You know what happens next.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

$RDDT is about to rip for sure. I am buying it here.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

I hope you didn’t sell. $AVAV I messed up the entry but I know what I am buying. Weekly MA50 is finally remounted at the end of the month. It will hit ATH again this year.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

Alright, I admit that I am wrong about the $AVAV trade. A very ugly reject of the SMA 50 on the monthly chart. I don't know where the support will be. $AVAV is the best stock out of the drone theme in my opinion and I will continue to hold it. Let's see if this will reclaim the SMA 50 before end of month.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

You better take my posts seriously!!! $SEDG premarket +11%.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

$SEDG sharing a crazy idea here, if it works, we are looking at a gigantic breakout above this base.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@bboczeng 你一定要好好活下去

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@hanking66 子弹多其实真的无所谓。

[KPC @kpcrocket]

$RDDT is about to rip for sure. I am buying it here.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

Finally I have redeemed myself. $AVAV

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

$AVAV GOD CANDLE 🔥

+15% in after-hours

[KPC @kpcrocket]

$SEDG sharing a crazy idea here, if it works, we are looking at a gigantic breakout above this base.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

$CRWD what did I say about it?

[KPC @kpcrocket]

FOCUS LIST FOR NEXT WEEK:

1) $NVO $IDXX healthcare rotation add, both are promising candidate for breaking out of a base
2) $SIVE because of its fragile technical looks (terrible really), I need to manage it a bit more cautiously, will not hesitate to sell all position if things go wrong
3) $RKLB may add a little bit
4) $CRWD (CRWD has some insane swing trade potential, may go degen)

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@IrisWan39849142 那就要看运气了。如果你对前景比较看好的，完全可以不卖。

[KPC @kpcrocket]

So far, as I predicted, 58-60 seems to be holding well. Great that SMA 50 has been defended as well. Not a bad day at all - managed to load more with at an average cost of 59. Is it possible for $SIVE to revisit sub-60? Absolutely. The daily HMA red band is just about to expand. I'd be cautiously loading more next week.

My advice: don't buy the first breakout next week (if there is one), it will mostly be a false one, unless it is driven by strong news (e.g. Apple announcing partnerships). The first breakout after a sharp decline has a much higher likelihood to fail.

If you are patient enough, wait for 1) MACD or RSI to curl up or 2) HMA band about to turn green. I mostly use 4hr.

My strategy is simple: I do NOT intend to swing trade $SIVE, I simply accumulate cheap and lower risk chips and hold. But if my analysis predicts more decline and it is out of my safe zone, stop sell orders will be made. Then I will just resume the accumulation process. There is no way I am going to bag hold this! This is not VOO which I can just DCA worry-free. All in all, remain very bullish about $SIVE long-term and will be patiently scaling my position.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@IrisWan39849142 XFAB我也有，2%的仓位，所以我都没有怎么看,能上8.5的话那基本上回调也差不多了，但现在不好说。AAOI我也有很小的仓位，应该还会跌，走坏了。买Serenity概念股都要好好看图，波动很大。

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@jason248297 I did. I am trying to tell you this is still very risky and should be managed tightly.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

Everyone holding $SIVE should read this. I also pointed out in my previous posts as well - bag holding micro-cap is very risky. That is why when the trading price is very close to your cost basis, you need to play extra attention. I am starting to dislike the fact that this is a "mini-cult" of this stock. This reminds me of $OPEN. (BTW, I am bullish on both, but risks are much higher than other high beta stock such as $RKLB).

[RJC @RJCcapital]

i follow/subscribe to @aleabitoreddit, i have post notifications on, in feb/march i made the same 100-200% in a day after he tweeted a ticker on things as obscure as xlu etf and iqe

he has 900K followers now. all his followers feel that “no stock ever goes red”, and many may not be doing their own deep diligence, but feeling increasing confidence to add more risk over time to the names he’s posting

the problem is we’re in an environment where everyone is excited and buying names deep down the stack right now, but that likely doesn’t last forever. Sivers making lasers and pivoting to CPO is great, but at some point that needs to be reflected in continued revenue/profit to justify the valuation. Even if the bottleneck story is true on these names (may be for lasers and cpo), if the valuation he’s pumping these micro caps to only gets justified in 2035 or something, market may lose interest in the bottleneck trade between now and decide to sell.

at some point along the line, the last people holding the stocks of these microcaps he’s tweeting about with do much enthusiasm are in a dangerous spot. We’ve seen similar sentiment changes happen in 2021 with nfts, and tons of other times. We may think lasers are different than monkey jpegs, but they’re being treated similarly in the market in many ways.

Anyways, I think serenity is smart clearly, the posts are dilligenced, but i think anyone following and copy trading should proceed with caution ⚠️ these names are pretty different fundamentally from some of the hundred billion dollar companies we’re seeing have exploding growth

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@capitaldrift You can also buy the breakout, stop buy at 50.

[KPC @kpcrocket]

FOCUS LIST FOR NEXT WEEK:

1) $NVO $IDXX healthcare rotation add, both are promising candidate for breaking out of a base
2) $SIVE because of its fragile technical looks (terrible really), I need to manage it a bit more cautiously, will not hesitate to sell all position if things go wrong
3) $RKLB may add a little bit
4) $CRWD (CRWD has some insane swing trade potential, may go degen)

[KPC @kpcrocket]

@babykiyo1209 前景没问题，而且有很多潜在的利好，这个应该是大部分人的共识了。但是现在这个股价，只看financials来说，实在太贵了，技术面也崩坏了。我表达的意思就是买入一定要做好风控，在业绩真的反应在balance sheet之前，宁愿卖飞也不要bag hold。