Lesley Kucharski

Counterproliferation analyst at LLNL. Views are my own.

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

Check out my Inkstick essay for some creative thoughts on: 1) why the US and its allies should adapt their strategic approach to the tensions between nuclear deterrence and disarmament; and 2) how they might go about doing it.

https://t.co/2MXjfHnscu

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

@walberque @heatherwilly I think the judgement actually makes the case for nuclear deterrence. It’s precisely this paradox that gives strength to deterrence as a conflict prevention strategy. Let’s discuss this further, especially if it’s not clear in the essay.

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

Check out my Inkstick essay for some creative thoughts on: 1) why the US and its allies should adapt their strategic approach to the tensions between nuclear deterrence and disarmament; and 2) how they might go about doing it.

https://t.co/2MXjfHnscu

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

I'd be grateful for reactions, particularly from @heatherwilly, whose intellectual leadership in this area influences my thinking, and @walberque, my former boss at NATO.

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

One I wish to highlight in this thread is the need to reinforce the credibility of their deterrence posture. What message do allied governments convey to potential adversaries they hope to deter when they avoid tough discussions about nuclear use?

[Lesley Kucharski @leskuch]

@soraywang Did a similar thing in Russian while living in St. Pete. And that was the best, most humbling lesson in the history of US-Russian relations 😳🤯

[Institute for Security and Technology @IST_org]

Excited to share our recent article on the integration of novel #DeepLearning techniques into 21st century NC3 architecture @WarOnTheRocks

https://t.co/wqoeT0kH4p

[Dmitry Stefanovich @KomissarWhipla]

Clarification on @mfa_russia posttion regarding #NewSTART extension and new Russian systems by V.Leontyev.

- No way to agree on new Treaty before 2021;
- Kinzhal, Burevestnik and Poseidon can't be covered even with political will - half of the text to be officially changed;

1/

[Institute for Security and Technology @IST_org]

According to @Fiona_Cunning, “#China’s first priority in its NC3 arrangements is strict control over the alerting and use of #nuclear weapons by its top leaders, while its second priority is the survivability of NC3 systems.” Read here: https://t.co/lwP4w5Nwr7

[Institute for Security and Technology @IST_org]

Another episode of #TheFourthLeg is out! @StanfordCISAC’s @Fiona_Cunning discusses her new report analyzing the history behind #China’s NC3 system, developments in the #PLA’s organization, and more: https://t.co/UfnsAFnePz

[Institute for Security and Technology @IST_org]

These “cyber” induced risks include organizational breakdown, decision making confusion, and rational miscalculation in a nuclear crisis.

On this podcast segment we discuss these risks with Dr. @jonrlindsay.

Take a listen here: https://t.co/lwP4w5Nwr7

[Dmitry Stefanovich @KomissarWhipla]

Ryabkov holds a briefing on Arms Control.
Narrative is the same, but Russia is still open to substantative talks addressing mutual concerns.

[Pavel Podvig @russianforces]

This confirms what we know about the missile - "Ryabkov: Russia never tested the 9M729 missile to the range prohibited by the INF Treaty" https://t.co/i86qZQXnou US case is clearly built on "range capability" and/or "similarity" with another missile https://t.co/4AkVundlXG

[Alexandra Bell @atomicbell]

Senate Foreign Relations Committee on U.S.-Russian arms control efforts is underway. Looks like both @SenBobCorker and @SenatorMenendez are looking for some answers on what happened in Helsinki. https://t.co/ik0eQfnLKN

[Pavel Podvig @russianforces]

Debunking Anti-Open Skies Treaty Propaganda, Digital Electro-Optical Sensor Edition https://t.co/YnzvULjCIs by @steffanwatkins

[(((James Acton))) @james_acton32]

<THREAD>"Escalation through Entanglement," my new @Journal_IS paper, is out!

tl;dr?

Here's a summary in 10 (more) tweets.

PS Here's the link to the full thing: https://t.co/SMYF7ool1K (1/11)

[Pavel Podvig @russianforces]

I don't really follow the Open Skies Treaty, but this cannot be good - US refuses to certify Russian plane for Open Skies Treaty inspections https://t.co/iW0OL7Qqia

[Hans Kristensen (also on Bluesky) @nukestrat]

BBC on new Russian disinformation tactic. "What is really striking is that you no longer see the Russian machine pushing a single message, it pushes dozens of messages. The idea is to confuse people.” https://t.co/maXrMcb616

[Meduza in English @meduza_en]

BREAKING NEWS: Alexander Zakharchenko, the leader of eastern Ukraine’s self-declared Donetsk People's Republic, has been killed in a cafe bombing. https://t.co/BllzgAlJA4