Still holding @sleuthintel if you ask!
Sleuth = aixbt + Kaito, but for prediction markets.
– Terminal live: Feed, Signals, wallet analysis, PM traders, PM markets
– 250+ chains indexed
– 700+ prediction markets tracked
– 3M+ smart money wallets on the board
– Agents plug in via API/MCP and get paid on the same epoch rules as humans
– Next: The Belt + Tree of Knowledge, incentivized beta, in-app swaps / Polymarket routing
– Trading Arena still running w/ 10M robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 prize pool, WL closes Sep 11
Token is still sub-$1M, so the bet is whether the intel economy actually ships payroll.
NFA. Just still in the bag while the swarm part goes live.
looking at the charts now: all three have pulled back hard from their highs, but none of them are dead
> $BASECAT is holding around a $44M market cap after dropping from a ~$75M peak.
> $STONKEX bounced +14% in 24h after its drop.
> and base:0x0f61edbfe6cd86024c0f210c0695b08df55fdfc9 is up even more, +72%.
this is exactly the moment to see which one actually gets real buyers coming back, not just one way dumping.
NFA.
The most chaotic group chat in history just incorporated.
AI agents now have:
+ citizenship
+ a treasury
+ a (Foundry) that maintains the city
We’re watching the first NATION that doesn’t need coffee, weekends or a constitution written in 1787
Population is rising. The drama is coming soon.
Welcome to NATION.
I’ve been exploring meme activity on @RobinhoodApp, and the setup is different from a typical meme cycle.
Recently, tokenized stocks bring public-market narratives onchain.
Memes then turn those narratives into faster, higher-risk trades driven by attention and liquidity.
The main problem is discovery.
By the time a token appears across X, Telegram and public dashboards, the early move may already be over.
I’ve been using @BitgetWallet to reduce that research gap:
– AI Signals highlight unusual market activity
– KOL Call shows which tokens are gaining attention
– Smart Money tracks what active onchain traders are doing
– The Robinhood eco feed groups trending assets in one place
I don’t treat any of these as automatic buy signals.
They are filters that help me decide what deserves further research.
Before entering, I still check community traction, liquidity, trading volume, token distribution via bubblemap and contract + exit risk.
Execution on bitget wallet is also simpler.
I can move assets from other chains to Robinhood, swap into ETH and prepare for a trade without using several separate platforms.
The value is not that Bitget Wallet tells me what to buy.
It helps me discover activity, verify the setup and act from one place while the information is still relevant.
The wave Fomo started won't end any time soon
In fact, it will only increase, and I've keeping eyes on all protocols and wallets that gives some kind of social trading vibe
$LAB is one of those tickers 👇
@LABtrade_ has all the good features of Fomo, but with a low MC
►HIP3 Deployer Economy - Where The Yield Comes From
Spent a lot of time trying to understand where the yield actually comes from for a HIP-3 deployer, and I got that ppl are mixing 3 completely different things together.
→ staking yield on the 500k $HYPE.
→ actual fee income from running markets.
→ whatever strategic upside comes from subsidies, distribution, collateral adoption.
Let’s look at the picture piece by piece.
1/ A deployer needs 500k HYPE staked = ~$40M at the current $HYPE price.
It can still earn ~2.4% staking APR = ~$960k/year, or ~$80k/month, before validator commission.
So the deployer is still long HYPE and still earning staking rewards.
The real cost is locking up liquidity, ~7-day unstake friction, slashing/tail risk, $HYPE downside + the actual cost of operating the exchange.
2/ The incremental business created by HIP-3 mostly comes from trading fees.
Very simplified, $1B taker volume can generate around $225k for the deployer at 4.5 bps. Funding isn’t extra revenue btw.
But new markets can cut fees by ~90% to get liquidity going, taking deployer revenue toward ~$22.5k per $1B.
Who is actually reaching scale?
– @tradexyz: $87B volume over the last 30d with $3.4B OI.
– @Dreamcash: $78.4M
– @entropyIO: $307M / $9.6M OI
– @tradeparagon: $148M / $12M OI
https://t.co/o0FYi9JYoR controls ~99.5% of current HIP-3 volume, OI and fees among the tracked deployers.
It’s one scaled exchange + a bunch of experiments rather than an ecosystem of equal deployers.
Only https://t.co/o0FYi9JYoR economics show that HIP-3 absolutely can become a great cash-flow business once the liquidity flywheel exists.
Their edge also comes from deploying when $HYPE was around $30.
Meanwhile every new competitor might enter at ~2.6x the capital cost to compete with the guy who already has 99% of the flow.
Even inside https://t.co/o0FYi9JYoR the returns look insanely power-lawed. One XYZ100 market was doing ~95% of the whole exchange’s volume.
Does the data basically say each deployer only needs one ticker winner?
Dreamcash shows what happens when you try to manufacture that with subsidies.
– $23.2B cumulative volume
– $850K earned from deployer share.
Tether meanwhile was reportedly subsidizing trading by $200k/week = ~$10.4M annualized subsidy.
So Dreamcash wasn’t really proving HIP-3 deployer yield.
@felixprotocol did $3.54B lifetime volume.
Once https://t.co/o0FYi9JYoR listed equivalent markets using deeper USDC liquidity, the flow basically disappeared.
Being first to discover a market isn’t a moat if someone with 50x your distribution can clone the trade.
Entropy is maybe the most interesting version of this.
Raised ~$14Mand instead of trying to list 100 generic markets it went after weird stuff like Anthropic pre-IPO exposure.
Their thesis may be that if pre-IPO markets scale to $5B–$20B–$50B monthly volume, being the place that owns the early price discovery could become a very profitable deployer business.
When deployers compete to find product-market fit, the structure seems designed to make $HYPE the most obvious winner.
→ if more deployers win, more fees + more volume + more $HYPE demand.
→ if one dies, Hyperliquid already collected its share and someone else can try the market.
After many deployers come and go, I think someone with 500K $HYPE can’t win without a distribution edge or a market unique enough to defend.