🏀 NBA Finals Wednesday Play #1 🌟
Jalen Brunson o30.5 PR
.75u | -112 365
Going to still see single coverage. The Spurs defense is super switch heavy and for a guy like Brunson who likes to mismatch hunt, that’s perfect. 25+ FGA in every game so far.
Equally as insane is his 37.9% usage rate through this series. KD said it best, your defense can be as great as possible but if you don’t make shots, you can’t win. Brunson is the bucket getter for the Knicks (as shown by his volume) yet he’s shooting just 37% this series.
Think he’s due for some positive regression in MSG now that the *bad vibes* are gone. The Knicks seemed rattled last game, I don’t think that happens again. 2/2 this series to this line. 30/37 with 34+ minutes and an >30% usage rate, 36/50 with 20+ FGA as well.
Player Prop Of The Day 🚀
Dylan Harper Over 13.5 Points
#PorVida vs #NewYorkForever
Collab w/ @ChronicBets
Backing Harper in game 4. He’s covered this line in 2/3 games this series (16,15,13). He’s shot 5/18 in game 3 which is plenty of volume for him. 10+ FGA in 3/3 games and is over this line in 6/8 playoff games with 10+ FGA and 25+ minutes.
The Knicks are a bottom 10 defense at defending the PNR handler and are middle of the pack at guarding spot-up scoring which are two of Harper’s top 3 usage scoring types. He’s consistently found good looks beyond the arc in this series. Shot 1/8 in game 3. Due for some positive regression behind the arc.
The Knicks have a solid restricted area defense but we’ve seen Harper be aggressive and get to the rim with his athleticism and elite finishing ability. The Knicks are a bottom 12 ATB3 defense as well and a bottom 15 mid-range defense which combine for 26% of Harper’s points.
Overall a solid spot. Played 32 minutes in game 3 so his minutes should be secure again. The volume has been there just need him to knock one or two down from deep and we like our chances. Give us the over for the rookie in game 4 of the NBA finals!
Best Line: -120 FanDuel
❤️ if you’re tailing!
My NBA Play Of The Day☢️
Landry Shamet 1.5 3PM “O”
(-118)FD
🏀#1 #PorVida Vs #Knicks
125❤️MY FAV NBA PAIRING ASAP
Shamet has been highly impactful off the bench for NYK logging 23+ mins in all 3 games in the series thus far.
Volume has been sticky has he’s fired 6+ 3PAs in all 3 games. He’s coming off a 1-7 from 3pt range in Game 3 which is a big reason I’m buying in here as he’s just too good of a shooter with that volume to continue shooting that poorly.
He’s O in 7/L8 playoff games for the Knicks as it’s clear Mike Brown has loved the production/minutes Shamet continues to give on a nightly bases off the bench.
Books have his 3PAs (-105) o 5.5 which gives me a ton of confidence attacking this as he’s O in 80% of games with 5+ 3PAs.
Our heater is overdue, Shamet gets it started for the good guys tonight!
NBA 🏀 Lock #1 (June 10th)
Stephon Castle o 4.5 Rebounds
(-130 Fanatics)
80 PERCENT HIT RATE 💎‼️
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
I’m running Castle back, he’s been a wagon for us all season and has been effective on the glass in this series. He has cleared this line in eight of his last ten postseason games while averaging 5 rebounds per game on 11 rebound chances.
Castle carried that production throughout the season into this series against the Knicks where he’s cleared this line in 2/3 games with 5 and 8 rebounds on 10 and 11 rebound chances.
He’s active on the defensive glass, and that should continue throughout the series. When Castle is matched up with players like Josh Hart, who is willing to shoot but not considered an elite perimeter scorer, it gives him more freedom to crash the boards and help finish possessions. Castle has also been underrated as an offensive rebounder with his ability to go for put backs or just use his athleticism to out hustle players for loose balls.
The pace of this matchup is another positive. Both San Antonio and New York played at some of the fastest tempos during the playoffs, creating more shot attempts and, consequently, more rebound opportunities. With Castle consistently seeing double-digit rebound chances and already proving successful in this matchup, he has a strong path to clearing 4.5 rebounds once again.
📊 @HOFApp
My NBA Finals Play of the Day ☢️
Devin Vassell O19.5 PRA (-115 B365)
❤️ 100 LIKES FOR MY SECOND PICK
Another one im running back after the Knicks didnt execute on defense last game which ruined the read. NYK Head Coach Mike Brown after Game 3:
"We allowed them to live in our paint. Castle got to the paint at will, almost every pick and roll he played. Not only that, we talked about taking away the vertical threat of Wemby. He had probably seven lob dunks because we didn't follow attention to detail in trying to take that away."
The Knicks have to take away the easy points in the paint which they did in Games 1 & 2 that they won, expecting better attention to detail after their home loss and forcing outside shots which will benefit players like Devin Vassell who has covered this line vs the Knicks in 4 out of 5 games this season, averaging 22.4 PRAs
WHO IS WINNING GAME 4 ?? ⬇️
Caralho maluco. Acordo com mais um vídeo com o Matheus Henrique cobrando um TIRO DE META no cu do Lyanco, Cássio pisando e Fagner agredindo. Que coisa fantástica.
Quando a ânsia de lacrar fala mais alto que a checagem básica, o resultado é constrangedor. O repórter Tiago Eltz, da TV Globo, tentou emplacar que Lula teria dito que queria “receber criminosos”. Só tinha um pequeno detalhe, não foi isso que ele disse.
A pergunta já veio com a interpretação pronta, mas sem base. Lula corrigiu na hora e explicou que falava de cooperação para responsabilizar investigados, não de acolhimento a foragidos.
Querem ensinar Lula a fazer política?
Kirk Cousins breaking down the #Seahawks defense and what makes them so difficult is football heaven (or hell if you’re the QB).
Great stuff from Kirk. This is amazing.
(via @TheFFWPodcast:
Deni Avdija Day.
Deni Avdija 21.5 Pts “O”
(-120)DK
🏀#1 #RipCity Vs #TakeRoot
150❤️ANOTHER PROP TONIGHT?!
Deni dropped 26 pts on 27 minutes in his return from injury Tuesday. He was pacing for 30-33 mins as POR blew out Philly.
Sharpe is OUT. Deni will see massive usage, FGAs, in a matchup against MIN who rarely sends double teams.
Books have his FGA’s (-130) o 15.5.
He’s OVER in 18/28 (68%) of games with 14-18 FGA’s, and this is a matchup with sneaky good FT upside.
We land another massive 239.5 point total that should pace nicely, and stay competitive throughout.
I’ll buy into Avdija who continues to lead this young Portland roster.
Another gift from the books. Lamelo doesn’t miss in high paced matchups when he gets normal minutes.
OVER in 10/11 games vs top 10 paced teams, & 26+ mins. 📈
📲@DoctorProfit